Tempe, AZ Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tempe, AZ

May 27, 2024 7:00 AM MST (14:00 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:19 AM   Sunset 7:31 PM
Moonrise 11:48 PM   Moonset 8:52 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tempe, AZ
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Area Discussion for - Phoenix, AZ
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FXUS65 KPSR 271143 AFDPSR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 443 AM MST Mon May 27 2024

UPDATE
Updated 12z Aviation Discussion.

SYNOPSIS
Hotter temperatures are expected across the lower deserts today with highs peaking in the high 90s to lower 100s, or around 5 degrees above average. Hot and dry conditions will persist through the rest of this week with very little day-to-day variability in temperatures.
Skies will remain mostly clear and winds should remain light overall with the exception of typical afternoon breezes.

DISCUSSION
Latest IR WV imagery reveals a low amplitude ridge centered over the western CONUS. This ridging pattern will continue to build today with 500 mb hghts rising to around 583-585 dam over southeast CA and southcentral AZ. In response, warmer temperatures are anticipated with highs reaching the upper 90s to around 103 degrees across the lower deserts. We will also begin to see isolated pockets of moderate HeatRisk develop in southeast CA this afternoon. Make sure to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks in the shade if you have any outdoor plans for Memorial Day. Another tranquil night is anticipated across the area with lows settling into the mid 60s to lower 70s. On Tuesday, the aforementioned ridge over the western U.S. will become more amplified as a shortwave trough moves into the Pac NW. Hght anomalies over the forecast area will increase further with highs solidly into the triple digits and possibly the first 105 degree day for the Phoenix Metro. Chances of 105+ degrees remain around 30-70% across the lower deserts on Tuesday afternoon. Moderate HeatRisk will also expand in coverage (20-40% in southcentral AZ and 50% in southeast CA).

Ensemble members are still in good agreement that a shortwave trough will pass through the Intermountain West on Wednesday. However, the positioning of this trough looks to be too far north to provide any noticeable cooling across the Desert Southwest. In fact, hght anomalies will still remain above average heading through mid- week which will keep temperatures mainly in the triple digits across the lower deserts from Wednesday onwards. There could be a slight uptick in breeziness each afternoon, but overall wind gusts are expected to remain below 25 mph with the exception of western Imperial County where gusts could reach as high as 35 mph Wednesday and Thursday afternoons.

Heading into this weekend, 500 mb cluster analysis is indicating positive hght anomalies building back over the region as ridging aloft strengthens over N Mexico. This increase in mid-lvl hghts/thickness suggest that temperatures will continue to remain above average. Both Saturday and Sunday look to be hot with highs mainly in the 100-105 degree range across the lower deserts. There are indications in some of the global models that ridging will become even more enhanced by the beginning of next week which could result in even hotter temperatures. Latest NBM 75th percentile highs in Phoenix are 107F Tuesday and 111F Wednesday next week. This will certainly be something to keep an eye on in the coming days.

AVIATION
Updated at 1142Z.

South-Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, KDVT:

No aviation weather concerns are anticipated through the TAF period under mostly clear skies, aside from FEW passing high clouds. Winds directions will follow their typical diurnal tendencies, with speeds mostly aob 8 kt sustained and periods of very light speeds and variability preceding direction switches.
Westerly gusts into the mid teens during the afternoon and early evening cannot be ruled out. Confidence in reduced visibility (as low as ~5SM) from dispersed wildfire smoke/haze this morning is very low, though Hi-Res model guidance still suggests the potential, and one or two sites have sporadically reported visibilities below 10SM so far this morning.

Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH:

No aviation weather concerns will exist through the next 24 hours under FEW passing high clouds this morning. Winds will exhibit extended periods of variability at both terminals this morning before favoring SE at KIPL by 14-16Z at KIPL and S at KBLH around 17-19Z. Wind speeds will remain light (aob 8 kt sustained) until late this afternoon/early this evening. Winds will establish out of the W at KIPL early this evening and could develop gusts between 15-20 kt, whereas directions will gain a more westerly component at KBLH and pick up to around 10 kt late this afternoon.



FIRE WEATHER
Hot and dry conditions will persist through this week with temperatures topping out around 5 degrees above average. Daily highs will reach the century mark in most lower desert locations beginning today with widespread readings between 100-105 persisting through the remainder of the week. MinRH values will be 10% or less across the central and western deserts each afternoon and overnight recoveries will continue to range from poor to fair at around 25- 40%. Winds are expected to generally remain below 15 mph, but a bump in breeziness could result in pockets of elevated fire weather concerns by the middle of this week (peaking on Wednesday).

PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AZ...None.
CA...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPHX PHOENIX SKY HARBOR INTL,AZ 2 sm69 minSE 0310 smA Few Clouds75°F34°F22%29.89
KSDL SCOTTSDALE,AZ 13 sm67 mincalm10 smClear72°F43°F35%29.93
KGEU GLENDALE MUNI,AZ 15 sm73 mincalm10 smClear70°F30°F23%29.87
KFFZ FALCON FLD,AZ 16 sm66 minE 0310 smClear72°F36°F27%29.92
KCHD CHANDLER MUNI,AZ 17 sm73 mincalm10 smClear68°F46°F46%29.91
KDVT PHOENIX DEER VALLEY,AZ 17 sm67 minENE 0310 smClear68°F34°F28%29.92
KGYR PHOENIX GOODYEAR,AZ 19 sm73 minvar 0310 smA Few Clouds70°F39°F33%29.91
KLUF LUKE AFB,AZ 19 sm65 mincalm10 smClear70°F32°F25%29.89
KIWA PHOENIXMESA GATEWAY,AZ 22 sm71 minE 0810 smClear66°F30°F26%29.93
Link to 5 minute data for KPHX


Wind History from PHX
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Phoenix, AZ,




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