Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Paris, TX

SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 135 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Upper ridging will remain anchored over eastern New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle through at least Thursday keeping hot and dry conditions over North and Central Texas. Expect afternoon highs in the upper 90s to lower 100s both Wednesday and Thursday with heat index values peaking in the 105-110 degree range across much of the region. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for much of our forecast area, minus several Big Country counties, through this evening and will likely be extended into Thursday on the day shift. Stay cool out there and make sure you are checking up on your friends, family, and neighbors that may be more susceptible to heat-related illnesses.

LONG TERM
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 135 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

By Friday, troughing will dig southeast across parts of the Midwest shunting the upper ridge toward the Four Corners region and placing North and Central Texas beneath north-northwest flow aloft. This will allow for a weak frontal boundary to sag south toward the Red River Friday night pushing through the rest of the region during the day Saturday. Ahead of this boundary on Friday, winds will take on a more west-southwesterly component which may tick temperatures up two to three degrees into the 103-106 degree range potentially necessitating an Extreme Heat Warning across parts of North Texas.

There will be notable moisture pooling ahead of this boundary that could help initiate a few very isolated thunderstorms as early as Friday evening near the Red River. This isolated storm potential (less than 20% chance) will gradually shift southward through the first half of the weekend as the weak frontal boundary makes progress into Central Texas. Severe weather is not expected and most locations will remain dry, but any storms that do develop will be capable of producing strong downburst winds with temperatures in/near the triple digits.

By Sunday, drier air will filter in effectively shutting off any of the low rain chances that will be present on Saturday.
Northeasterly surface winds will allow for a slightly "cooler" day on Sunday with highs in the low to mid 90s. However, by Monday winds turn back out of the south and upper ridging extends back over the Southern Plains causing temperatures to gradually warm back up into the upper 90s to lower 100s. No significant rain chances are in the forecast through at least the next 7-8 days.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026

VFR conditions and south winds at 5-12 kts will prevail through the TAF period at all North and Central Texas terminals. Very brief MVFR cigs may move into the vicinity of KACT around 13Z-14Z this morning.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Issued at 1207 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 101 82 102 82 / 0 0 0 0 Waco 99 77 100 78 / 0 0 0 0 Paris 98 78 97 78 / 0 0 10 0 Denton 101 80 102 81 / 0 0 0 0 McKinney 99 79 100 79 / 0 0 0 0 Dallas 101 83 102 83 / 0 0 0 0 Terrell 99 78 100 78 / 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 100 78 100 79 / 0 0 0 0 Temple 99 76 100 77 / 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 101 76 102 77 / 0 0 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107- 116>123-131>135-144>148-158>162-174-175.