Paris, TX Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Paris, TX

April 12, 2024 4:56 PM CDT (21:56 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:53 AM   Sunset 7:52 PM
Moonrise 8:29 AM   Moonset 11:48 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Paris, TX
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Area Discussion for - Fort Worth, TX
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FXUS64 KFWD 121926 AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 226 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

New Long Term

SHORT TERM
/Issued 1241 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024/ /Today through Saturday Afternoon/

A warm and occasionally breezy start to the weekend is upon North and Central Texas as upper level ridging builds overtop the Southern Plains. A stream of scattered cirrus will continue to ride the Subtropical jet stream and spread across the state this afternoon and evening, with the denser cloud cover progged to move overhead after peak heating. Mostly sunny skies and persisting southerly flow at the surface and low levels will allow temperatures to warm well into the 70s and 80s. The warming trend will continue into Saturday as morning lows only bottom out in the 50s and 60s.

Wind speeds will be on the increase as low surface pressure in the lee of the Rockies deepens, tightening the surface pressure gradient. Maximum speeds will be observed during the afternoon, where sustained speeds of 15-25 mph and gusts up to 30-35 mph are expected. While isolated areas near and west of the I-35 corridor may reach Wind Advisory criteria late tomorrow morning and afternoon, exceedance is too isolated to warrant the issuance of a Wind Advisory with this forecast package. Nonetheless, it will be a breezy day, so make sure to secure loose outdoor objects and take caution driving high profile vehicles. Otherwise, expect another round of high temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

Prater

LONG TERM
/NEW/ /Sunday and Beyond/

Moist, southerly low-level flow will increase by Sunday ahead of a deepening upper-level low over the western CONUS. By Monday, breezy southerly winds at 15-25 mph gusting to 35 mph at times will help usher in mid-60s surface dewpoints across much of the Southern Plains. As the upper low shifts into the Plains, thunderstorm activity is expected to develop late Monday afternoon and evening along a dryline laid out across portions of the Texas Panhandle and West Texas, well west and northwest of the FWD forecast area. A Pacific front will eventually overtake this dryline, pushing the thunderstorm activity east into North Texas late Monday evening into Monday night.

Weak capping, sufficient instability, and forecasted wind profiles will likely support more discrete, supercellular storm structures initially off the dryline late Monday afternoon. It is uncertain exactly how this activity will evolve as it shifts east toward North Texas late Monday evening, but the overall environment is not particularly supportive of widespread severe weather. Current guidance continues to suggest that SBCIN will increase Monday night over North Texas as we remain south and east of the greatest synoptic- scale ascent associated with the upper-level low. This would lead us to assume that any thunderstorm activity will take on a weakening trend once it enters our forecast area, with the greatest chances for strong to severe storms across our far western Big Country counties. If convection is able to remain more discrete as it enters western North Texas, hail would be the primary hazard. However, if thunderstorms grow upscale into a line/broken line of thunderstorms, damaging winds would be more of a concern. Although an increasing low-level jet Monday evening/night is leading to some curvature in the forecasted hodographs, limited low-level instability will likely keep the tornado threat on the low end. Nevertheless, continue to pay close attention to the forecast over the next few days as we further refine timing/location/hazard specifics.

The bulk of the thunderstorm activity should be shifting into East Texas by midday Tuesday. This system will not be a big rain-maker with most locations seeing less than 0.25". A brief period of warm, dry weather will take place midweek behind this system with afternoon highs rising into the mid-80s to mid-90s by Wednesday.
Ensemble and deterministic guidance continues to highlight the passage of a strong cold front on Thursday bringing cooler temperatures and rain chances back to North and Central Texas.
Depending on the speed of this frontal passage, there may be a window of opportunity for a couple strong to severe storms across our Central Texas counties late Thursday. High temperatures in the 60s to low 70s are looking more probable Friday into next weekend behind this frontal boundary.

Langfeld

AVIATION
/Issued 1241 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024/ /18Z TAFs/

Southerly winds around 10-15 kts with occasional higher gusts will persist through this afternoon as scattered high-level cirrus continue to stream across the region. Wind speeds will decrease slightly this evening. but will stay around 10 kts.
Denser cirrus is expected to move over the TAF sites overnight, but VFR will prevail through the period.

Continued southerly winds will strengthen even more tomorrow afternoon in response to deepening low pressure to our northwest.
Expect speeds around 15-20 kts with gusts up to around 30 kts across D10, with slightly lower speeds at ACT.

Prater


PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Dallas-Ft. Worth 59 82 63 84 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 57 80 62 81 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 54 79 60 80 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 56 81 60 84 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 57 80 61 82 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 60 82 63 84 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 56 79 61 81 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 57 81 62 83 66 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 56 80 62 82 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 56 83 60 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 0

FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPRX COX FIELD,TX 5 sm60 minS 0710 smClear79°F45°F30%30.21
Link to 5 minute data for KPRX


Wind History from PRX
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southern planes -- texas   
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