LONG TERM
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 251 PM EDT Sat Sep 7 2024

The long term forecast kicks off with high pressure at the surface and the trough axis pushing off the eastern CONUS. A stationary boundary to the south of the CWA will relegate low-end rain and thunderstorm chances to our far southern counties each afternoon through midweek. Will need to monitor the Gulf over the course of the next several days as a center of low pressure is expected to develop in the western Gulf and track northward. Currently, NHC has this area progged at a 60% chance of tropical formation over the next 7 days. While ensemble guidance members have the center of low pressure to our west, our area will experience some rainfall from this system. Rain chances have gone up for our area with this forecast package, with most areas expected to see a chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday. Depending on the ultimate path of the track, rain chances and totals may shift in future forecast updates.

KAB

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 731 PM EDT Sat Sep 7 2024

VFR through TAF period. Winds will be primary impact. Currently they are from NW at 7-12 kts with some gusts. This should begin to slowly decrease tonight and switch to the NE becoming ENE by morning at most all sites. Winds tomorrow will be 6-11 kts. Some higher cloud cover may impact metro TAF sites, and cu field expected to build in again tomorrow. For MCN/AHN/CSG, some moisture may return allowing for VFR cigs to build in between 060 and 120.

//ATL Confidence
00Z Update

High all elements.

Lusk

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Athens 63 78 60 84 / 10 0 10 0 Atlanta 64 79 62 84 / 0 0 10 0 Blairsville 51 75 52 79 / 0 0 0 0 Cartersville 57 82 58 85 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 66 83 66 84 / 10 10 10 10 Gainesville 61 77 59 82 / 0 0 0 0 Macon 66 82 64 82 / 10 10 20 10 Rome 55 82 56 86 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 62 80 60 83 / 10 0 10 0 Vidalia 66 74 66 79 / 20 40 30 20

FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.