Homeland Park, SC Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Homeland Park, SC

June 16, 2024 5:00 AM EDT (09:00 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:16 AM   Sunset 8:46 PM
Moonrise 2:48 PM   Moonset 1:35 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Homeland Park, SC
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Area Discussion for - Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
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FXUS62 KGSP 160740 AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 340 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
Strong high pressure will gradually build over the region through much of the week keeping temperatures above normal. There will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms today and Monday. Then drier conditions are expected to return Tuesday into Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 3:15 AM Sunday: An area of sct showers over our NC foothills and southern NC mtns refuse to go away. With decent amounts of CIN over the area, we haven't seen any lightning for several hours and shouldn't going forward. Any locations that have gotten rain may see some fog develop before sunrise as dewpts remain elevated compared to the past few mornings. However, winds have also remained a bit more elevated so far this morning so that might prevent some fog from developing. With the increased cloud cover, lows should remain about a category above climatology this morning.

Otherwise, expansive upper ridging will continue to build over the eastern CONUS thru the near-term period with the center of the anti- cyclone expected to be over the Carolinas for much of the period.
At the sfc, high pressure currently centered over New England will slide SE and off the coast later today allowing our low-level flow to become more SELY as the day progresses. This will help moisten profiles across our western zones and also enhance upslope flow over the Escarpment. Thus, we should see better coverage of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon/evening compared to the past few days, especially over the mtns and western Upstate/NE Georgia. However, mid-level lapse rates still appear meager (at best) for most of our area, so it's doubtful that any thunderstorms will become severe, but a few might warrant an SPS. In addition, they could generate some heavy downpours. Temperatures should not be quite as warm today, although highs are still likely to exceed 90 degrees across most of the Upstate and NE Georgia.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
As of 200 AM EDT Sunday: The center of a large upper level anticyclone will drift from the Carolinas to near NYC by 12z Wednesday. This will place the forecast area on the easterly flow side of the circulation. Enough moisture will linger for diurnal convection to form across mainly the mountains Monday, but severe threat will remain low. The day will start out with some stratus/stratocu, but should scatter out by the aftn. Overall, temps will be held to near normal, despite starting out warm. On Tuesday, dry air rotating in from the NE and subsidence will combine to preclude deep convection. Temps will be a deg or two above normal, generally upper 80s Piedmont and mid 80s in the mountain valleys.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 215 AM EDT Sunday: The strong 500 mb anticyclone may reach 600 dam over the mid-Atlantic region by Thursday, resulting oppressive heat to our north. Subsidence and dry air will result in dry conditions and above normal temps across the forecast area thru at least Thursday. Perhaps a few ridge-top showers and general thunderstorms may form Friday, but the latest guidance has been trending drier. The one feature to watch is an easterly/tropical wave that some of the deterministic models form a weak tropical cyclone from east of FL. This wave is expected to track westward under the upper high just to our south, but some of that moisture could brush our area Thursday into Thursday night. The upper high will weaken and begin to drift south by Saturday, with building heat and humidity across the region. The mid-level inversion may weaken enough and combined with good insolation for a return of typical late June diurnal convection Saturday and Sunday. Highs will likely be in the mid 90s across the Piedmont and upper 80s to near 90 in the mountain valleys.

AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: we've still got some lingering patches of showers over western NC as we head into the overnight. This activity may impact KAVL for the first few hrs of the taf, so I included a VCSH for that site. It's doubtful that the other taf sites will be impacted. Low-end VFR to MVFR level clouds remain possible in the predawn hrs, especially near KAVL and KHKY, but I was not confident enough to go with prevailing restrictions so I kept cigs at 3500 ft.
Also, the low levels still appear too mixed for any substantial fog development overnight. Otherwise, chances for sct diurnal SHRA/TSRA will be somewhat better today than the past few days. Still anticipate coverage being better over the NC mtns and SC Upstate with showers possibly lingering well into the night and even overnight. Thus, I included PROB30s for TSRA at KAVL and the Upstate terminals beginning around 20z. For KCLT and KHKY, I left out any mention of thunder as it appears less likely over that area. In addition, much of the latest guidance has lower cigs spreading over the area just as the period ends at 06z. Thus, I lower cigs at KCLT to MVFR for the last few hours of the period since they go thru 12z Monday. Otherwise, winds will favor a SE to NE direction thru the morning (if not VRB at times) and then favor a SE direction thru the aftn/evening.

Outlook: Moist SELY low-level flow will persist thru Monday, helping support another round of diurnal SHRA/TSRA. An amplifying upper ridge is likely to result in mostly dry/VFR daytime conditions Tuesday thru Thurs, however nocturnal fog/stratus could develop early each morning.

GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KAND ANDERSON RGNL,SC 3 sm64 minE 0410 smClear75°F68°F78%30.05
KCEU OCONEE COUNTY RGNL,SC 17 sm66 minN 0410 smClear73°F70°F89%30.06
KLQK PICKENS COUNTY,SC 24 sm25 minNE 0510 smClear72°F72°F100%30.07
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