Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Atkins, AR
July 3, 2024 12:51 AM CDT (05:51 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:01 AM Sunset 8:32 PM Moonrise 2:33 AM Moonset 5:55 PM |
Area Discussion for - Little Rock, AR
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FXUS64 KLZK 030528 AAA AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1228 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Substantial heat stress conditions will prevail during this forecast period.
Latest satellite and surface observations indicate scattered CU across southwest sections of the state, with clear conditions elsewhere. Heat index values above 100 were noted in the southwest portions of the forecast area, as well as along the Arkansas River Valley near and to the west of Little Rock.
Conditions promoting dangerous heat stress conditions will be in place through the period, as low level moisture increases slightly area wide. Also, well above normal overnight low temperatures will occur, adding to the dangerous heat stress conditions.
A cold front will approach the Arkansas, Missouri border Wednesday afternoon, and will promote scattered thunderstorm development.
Damaging wind gusts will be possible with the strongest storms, the greatest chances of which will be across northern sections of the forecast area.
LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
A lot of changes are in store for the forecast area during the extended term.
The upper level ridge dominating the area during the short term will be replaced by a mean trof across the midsection of the country. A cold front will start to push into the area, and showers and thunderstorms chances will increase significantly.
Slightly cooler and drier air will filter in behind the front, keeping temperatures more moderated during the remainder of the term. The front will likely stall out in the vicinity of the AR/LA border for several days.
Now here comes the big "if" in the forecast. Some models are bringing the remnants of Beryl (either as a tropical storm or a lower end hurricane) into south Texas...and bring it up into the TX Hill Country / North Texas region over the course of several days.
Models are showing the stationary boundary over the AR/LA border moving north and interacting with deep moisture streaming off the remnants of Beryl.
At the moment - and at this range - this is still a very low confidence event, but we will have to keep a careful watch on how this all plays out. Because under these circumstances, not only would this bring significant rainfall and flooding to TX, but to AR as well.
This is still a week away and an awful lot can and will change between now and then - but we always need to be mindful about the potential interaction of a land-falling tropical cyclone in the general region and any potential interaction with a slow-moving or quasi-stationary boundary.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
VFR condns are expected to persist thru the PD, w/ winds settling out overnight Tues night. Main story on Wed wl be development of TS acrs Nrn AR along an advancing cdfrnt, though confidence on covg remains low attm. Kept mentions of VCTS at Nrn terminals w/ this set of TAFs, and additional refinement of convective activity is expected. Otherwise, area-wide Srly winds should resume on Wed aftn.
/72/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 98 76 97 74 / 30 10 30 50 Camden AR 99 77 98 76 / 10 0 10 20 Harrison AR 96 73 96 70 / 50 20 30 50 Hot Springs AR 99 77 98 75 / 10 0 10 30 Little Rock AR 99 80 98 79 / 20 10 20 30 Monticello AR 99 79 96 79 / 10 0 30 20 Mount Ida AR 98 76 97 73 / 10 0 10 30 Mountain Home AR 96 73 96 71 / 60 20 40 50 Newport AR 98 77 96 75 / 20 10 30 50 Pine Bluff AR 99 78 97 77 / 10 0 20 30 Russellville AR 99 77 98 75 / 20 10 20 40 Searcy AR 98 76 97 75 / 20 10 30 40 Stuttgart AR 97 79 95 78 / 10 0 20 30
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Excessive Heat Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047- 053>057-062>069-113-121>123-130-137-138-212-213-230-238-313.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ052-103-112-140-141-203-221>223-237-240-241-340-341.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1228 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Substantial heat stress conditions will prevail during this forecast period.
Latest satellite and surface observations indicate scattered CU across southwest sections of the state, with clear conditions elsewhere. Heat index values above 100 were noted in the southwest portions of the forecast area, as well as along the Arkansas River Valley near and to the west of Little Rock.
Conditions promoting dangerous heat stress conditions will be in place through the period, as low level moisture increases slightly area wide. Also, well above normal overnight low temperatures will occur, adding to the dangerous heat stress conditions.
A cold front will approach the Arkansas, Missouri border Wednesday afternoon, and will promote scattered thunderstorm development.
Damaging wind gusts will be possible with the strongest storms, the greatest chances of which will be across northern sections of the forecast area.
LONG TERM
(Thursday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Tue Jul 2 2024
A lot of changes are in store for the forecast area during the extended term.
The upper level ridge dominating the area during the short term will be replaced by a mean trof across the midsection of the country. A cold front will start to push into the area, and showers and thunderstorms chances will increase significantly.
Slightly cooler and drier air will filter in behind the front, keeping temperatures more moderated during the remainder of the term. The front will likely stall out in the vicinity of the AR/LA border for several days.
Now here comes the big "if" in the forecast. Some models are bringing the remnants of Beryl (either as a tropical storm or a lower end hurricane) into south Texas...and bring it up into the TX Hill Country / North Texas region over the course of several days.
Models are showing the stationary boundary over the AR/LA border moving north and interacting with deep moisture streaming off the remnants of Beryl.
At the moment - and at this range - this is still a very low confidence event, but we will have to keep a careful watch on how this all plays out. Because under these circumstances, not only would this bring significant rainfall and flooding to TX, but to AR as well.
This is still a week away and an awful lot can and will change between now and then - but we always need to be mindful about the potential interaction of a land-falling tropical cyclone in the general region and any potential interaction with a slow-moving or quasi-stationary boundary.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2024
VFR condns are expected to persist thru the PD, w/ winds settling out overnight Tues night. Main story on Wed wl be development of TS acrs Nrn AR along an advancing cdfrnt, though confidence on covg remains low attm. Kept mentions of VCTS at Nrn terminals w/ this set of TAFs, and additional refinement of convective activity is expected. Otherwise, area-wide Srly winds should resume on Wed aftn.
/72/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 98 76 97 74 / 30 10 30 50 Camden AR 99 77 98 76 / 10 0 10 20 Harrison AR 96 73 96 70 / 50 20 30 50 Hot Springs AR 99 77 98 75 / 10 0 10 30 Little Rock AR 99 80 98 79 / 20 10 20 30 Monticello AR 99 79 96 79 / 10 0 30 20 Mount Ida AR 98 76 97 73 / 10 0 10 30 Mountain Home AR 96 73 96 71 / 60 20 40 50 Newport AR 98 77 96 75 / 20 10 30 50 Pine Bluff AR 99 78 97 77 / 10 0 20 30 Russellville AR 99 77 98 75 / 20 10 20 40 Searcy AR 98 76 97 75 / 20 10 30 40 Stuttgart AR 97 79 95 78 / 10 0 20 30
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Excessive Heat Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047- 053>057-062>069-113-121>123-130-137-138-212-213-230-238-313.
Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM CDT this evening for ARZ052-103-112-140-141-203-221>223-237-240-241-340-341.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KRUE
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRUE
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRUE
Wind History graph: RUE
(wind in knots)
Little Rock, AR,
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