Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Atkins, AR

DISCUSSION
Issued at 141 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Quiet conditions are ongoing across the CWA early this Fri morning...with some light SRLY winds already noted. These SRLY winds will increase into this afternoon as the pressure gradient tightens.
Temps will warm further from Thu as a result...even as some increased cloud cover develops. This increased cloud cover will be result of a weak upper wave passing over NRN sections of the state into the afternoon hrs. This upper wave may also trigger some isolated/widely scattered convection...with some low end POPs mentioned again today as a result over WRN/NRN sections.

A similar situation may occur again for Sat as well...with SRLY SFC flow continuing...and a weak upper wave passing over the AR/MO border before the midday timeframe. Flow aloft will increase from the SW on Sun...with SRLY/SERLY SFC flow increasing further. Most of the upper energy looks to remain west of AR on Sun into Sun night...so have dropped POPs to just slight chance across WRN sections with no significant forcing mechanisms expected.

A more unsettled pattern will exist for the work week next week.
Upper level energy will attempt to move close to AR starting Mon...but the cold front will hold off until mainly Tue and Wed.
This front will drop south into the state slowing as it drops south and becomes parallel to the upper flow. Additional upper waves look to pass overhead...keeping chances for convection in the forecast nearly every day next week. While this setup tends to result in areas of heavy rainfall with multiple rounds of convection possible...uncertainty does exist on how far SE the front drops...and the upper energy moves. Given the ongoing drought conditions...a bit hesitant to get into the details regarding how much rainfall may occur. This will be ironed out over the next few days...and hopefully many areas can see additional beneficial rainfall.

Will also need to at least mention some potential for seeing strong to SVR convection with the more active pattern as well. Given the mid/late May time-frame
deep moisture return
and stout upper level flow...a threat for seeing SVR convection may exist.
However...details on timing of upper waves and other uncertainties will need figured out in the coming days on any SVR threat potential next week.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 645 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Prevailing VFR conditions through the forecast period. LLWS will lead to some mininal impacts late tonight into early Saturday morning at KHRO & KBPK. Light south to southwest winds overnight will become gusty at times at all terminals after mid morning at all terminals. Hi-res CAMs shows another round of isolated SHRA will move west to east through the state on Saturday, thus placed VCSH at KHRO & KHOT, but additional terminals could be added during the next TAF cycle if confidence increases.



PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Batesville AR 73 87 69 88 / 20 20 0 0 Camden AR 70 88 68 87 / 0 0 0 10 Harrison AR 70 86 67 86 / 30 30 0 0 Hot Springs AR 72 87 68 85 / 0 0 0 10 Little Rock AR 72 87 68 87 / 0 0 0 10 Monticello AR 72 86 67 86 / 0 0 0 10 Mount Ida AR 72 86 70 84 / 10 10 0 10 Mountain Home AR 70 86 67 87 / 30 30 0 0 Newport AR 72 88 68 90 / 20 20 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 71 88 67 88 / 0 0 0 10 Russellville AR 71 88 68 86 / 20 20 0 10 Searcy AR 70 87 66 88 / 10 10 0 0 Stuttgart AR 73 87 69 88 / 0 0 0 0

LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.