Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Grundy, VA
 | Sunrise 7:35 AM Sunset 6:54 PM Moonrise 10:45 AM Moonset 8:01 PM |
Marine Forecasts
NOTE: Zones updated 4/16/2026. Some zones changed. Use Edit if needed.
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Grundy, VA
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS61 KRLX 142054 AFDRLX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 454 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Have updated PoPs into early tonight to represent a slightly faster arrival of showers/storms. The main concern continues to be isolated heavy storms with strong wind gusts, as well as locally heavy rain with training showers/storms, especially north in the CWA (SE OH and N WV) along the front, over relatively low flash flood guidance from recent heavy rains over the weekend.
As of 210 PM Wednesday...
The timing of the cold frontal passage on Friday continues to slow down in the models, with passage and resulting gusty winds now expected from midday into the afternoon hours.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Round one of showers and thunderstorms occurs later this afternoon into early Thursday morning as a cold front drops into the region. An isolated severe thunderstorm is possible and repetitive showers/storms may cause some localized flash flooding.
2) Round two of showers with gusty winds accompany a cold frontal passage on Friday.
3) Much cooler temperatures with a threat of a frost/freeze over the weekend.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A cold front will sag south into the area tonight bringing increasing showers and thunderstorms. A weak wave of low pressure also moves along the front, enhancing rainfall at times.
Ahead of the front, temperatures have soared to well above normal values and southwesterly low level winds have pumped ample moisture northward with PWATS approaching 2 inches along the front. All of this points to a potential for a few severe thunderstorms later this afternoon, with gusty winds the primary threat, and then heavy rainfall overnight as the front stalls out bisecting the area in a west to east orientation. This sets up the potential for repetitive rounds of showers and storms with WPC highlighting a large chunk of our CWA under a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall overnight.
The front lifts north as a warm front tomorrow resulting in a lull in precipitation during the afternoon and another warm day.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
Forecast models continue to slow down the frontal passage on Friday with the general consensus now being a midday or afternoon passage. This should be accompanied by a broken line of showers, with just enough instability for perhaps a thunderstorm or two. The bigger concern is gusty winds though with potential for widespread 30 to 40 mph winds and higher in the higher elevations. This will cause scattered power outages if it materializes.
KEY MESSAGE 3...
Breezy north winds continue to usher in a seasonably cool airmass Saturday with a few light rain showers, and maybe some mountain flurries in the morning. Winds then die down Saturday night as a sprawling area of high pressure builds in and this will support temperatures falling to around freezing for many locations and frost/freeze headlines will likely be needed.
Temperatures then slowly moderate into next week but at least some patchy frost will again be possible Sunday night into Monday morning.
AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A cold front will sag south into the region later this afternoon and tonight bringing periods of showers and thunderstorms.
Flight conditions will likely be variable in the evening but then gradually lower to IFR overnight into Thursday morning.
The front will lift back north tomorrow with gradually improving conditions from south to north into the afternoon.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TAFs represent best guess on timing of showers/storms and lowering ceilings overnight. Flight conditions will likely be highly variable during the evening.
Timing of the onset of IFR will likely vary from forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 EDT 1HRLY 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H M H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M H M BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H L PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H M H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H M H H H H M
AFTER 18Z THURSDAY...
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 454 PM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
Have updated PoPs into early tonight to represent a slightly faster arrival of showers/storms. The main concern continues to be isolated heavy storms with strong wind gusts, as well as locally heavy rain with training showers/storms, especially north in the CWA (SE OH and N WV) along the front, over relatively low flash flood guidance from recent heavy rains over the weekend.
As of 210 PM Wednesday...
The timing of the cold frontal passage on Friday continues to slow down in the models, with passage and resulting gusty winds now expected from midday into the afternoon hours.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Round one of showers and thunderstorms occurs later this afternoon into early Thursday morning as a cold front drops into the region. An isolated severe thunderstorm is possible and repetitive showers/storms may cause some localized flash flooding.
2) Round two of showers with gusty winds accompany a cold frontal passage on Friday.
3) Much cooler temperatures with a threat of a frost/freeze over the weekend.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A cold front will sag south into the area tonight bringing increasing showers and thunderstorms. A weak wave of low pressure also moves along the front, enhancing rainfall at times.
Ahead of the front, temperatures have soared to well above normal values and southwesterly low level winds have pumped ample moisture northward with PWATS approaching 2 inches along the front. All of this points to a potential for a few severe thunderstorms later this afternoon, with gusty winds the primary threat, and then heavy rainfall overnight as the front stalls out bisecting the area in a west to east orientation. This sets up the potential for repetitive rounds of showers and storms with WPC highlighting a large chunk of our CWA under a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall overnight.
The front lifts north as a warm front tomorrow resulting in a lull in precipitation during the afternoon and another warm day.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
Forecast models continue to slow down the frontal passage on Friday with the general consensus now being a midday or afternoon passage. This should be accompanied by a broken line of showers, with just enough instability for perhaps a thunderstorm or two. The bigger concern is gusty winds though with potential for widespread 30 to 40 mph winds and higher in the higher elevations. This will cause scattered power outages if it materializes.
KEY MESSAGE 3...
Breezy north winds continue to usher in a seasonably cool airmass Saturday with a few light rain showers, and maybe some mountain flurries in the morning. Winds then die down Saturday night as a sprawling area of high pressure builds in and this will support temperatures falling to around freezing for many locations and frost/freeze headlines will likely be needed.
Temperatures then slowly moderate into next week but at least some patchy frost will again be possible Sunday night into Monday morning.
AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A cold front will sag south into the region later this afternoon and tonight bringing periods of showers and thunderstorms.
Flight conditions will likely be variable in the evening but then gradually lower to IFR overnight into Thursday morning.
The front will lift back north tomorrow with gradually improving conditions from south to north into the afternoon.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TAFs represent best guess on timing of showers/storms and lowering ceilings overnight. Flight conditions will likely be highly variable during the evening.
Timing of the onset of IFR will likely vary from forecast.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 EDT 1HRLY 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H M H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M H M BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H L PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H M H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H M H H H H M
AFTER 18Z THURSDAY...
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
Link to 5 hour of 5 minute data for KJFZ
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KJFZ
Wind History Graph: JFZ
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of great lakes
Edit Hide
Charleston, WV,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE
X