El Dorado, KS Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for El Dorado, KS

April 21, 2024 10:12 PM CDT (03:12 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:43 AM   Sunset 8:12 PM
Moonrise 5:14 PM   Moonset 4:40 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near El Dorado, KS
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Area Discussion for - Wichita, KS
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FXUS63 KICT 212333 AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 633 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Very strong south winds expected Monday over central and south central Kansas, wind advisory levels likely to be reached along with elevated grassland fire danger

- Storm chances will be possible Wednesday/Wednesday night

- Periods of active severe weather could affect the region from Thursday-Sunday as rich Gulf of Mexico moisture is encountered by a couple strong weather systems

DISCUSSION
Issued at 245 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Quiet weather conditions will be in store for tonight as surface high pressure slides eastward into Missouri. Satellite water vapor imagery shows a well defined upper wave now over Alberta, Canada which will move east across the northern states on Monday and push a cold front southward into Nebraska. The combination of tightening surface pressure gradient and deep mixing of low levels should allow momentum transfer from some of the 40kt 850mb wind maximum down to the surface over much of central/south central Kansas. As a result we will hoist a wind advisory for those locations eastward towards the Flint Hills. We could see a glancing shot for some isolated elevated shower/storm chances for central Kansas with better chances further northeast Monday night into Tuesday morning. The cold front will continue to push southward across Kansas on Tuesday and looks to stall out over Oklahoma on Wednesday. Models show a decent mid- level baroclinic zone residing north of the stalled frontal boundary which looks to become activated from elevated moisture advection late Tuesday night into Wednesday over Oklahoma. Some of this activity could spread into southern Kansas Wednesday afternoon/night.

Looking further west current wide view GOES satellite water vapor imagery shows a healthy looking upper level system over the Pacific Ocean between 160W and 150W longitude moving eastward. Models show this system moving into the southwestern states Wednesday night and ejecting eastward into the central plains by Thursday night. This will cause the stalled out frontal boundary in Oklahoma to begin lifting northward as a warm front Wednesday night, and push north into Kansas later in the day on Thursday. The low level moisture quality will continue to enrich as the warm front lifts north for Thursday night. Thunderstorm chances look to increase especially for Thursday night, as latest timing from the models shows main upper level trough and associated upper forcing pushing into the region. A active pattern could ensue heading into the weekend with another robust upper wave quickly on the heels of Thursday nights system.
The low level moisture will remain rich adding to higher levels of instability combined with increasing wind shear from each weather system will bring increasing severe weather chances to Kansas.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 629 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

VFR with light winds are expected for the first 12 hours of the TAF. The only concern for tonight will be at KRSL, KGBD and KSLN where some LLWS will be setting up. This will start around the 08Z to 10Z time frame and will continue until around 14Z, at that time, mixing will begin. Then it will turn into a low level turbulence situation as the winds pick up through the day.
The strong winds will affect all terminals in the area. Wind gusts of 45kts are possible after 16Z tomorrow. KCNU will likely be the last terminal to get the high winds which should start around 18Z.

ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 6 PM CDT Monday for KSZ032-033- 047>053-067>069-082-083-091>093.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KEQA EL DORADO/CAPTAIN JACK THOMAS MEMORIAL,KS 7 sm17 minSE 0310 smClear50°F32°F50%30.24
KAAO COLONEL JAMES JABARA,KS 24 sm18 minSSE 0510 smClear52°F28°F40%30.23
Link to 5 minute data for KAAO


Wind History from AAO
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Upper Mississippi Valley   
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Wichita, KS,



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