Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kit Carson, CO
November 30, 2023 9:08 PM MST (04:08 UTC)
Sunrise 6:55AM Sunset 4:39PM Moonrise 8:21PM Moonset 11:12AM
Area Discussion for - Goodland, KS
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS63 KGLD 302333 AFDGLD
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 433 PM MST Thu Nov 30 2023
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 150 PM MST Thu Nov 30 2023
Tonight...a small/compact upper level low pressure center is forecast to be in northern Texas/Oklahoma border around 00z tonight, moving to the northeast into Missouri overnight. 850-500mb moisture from a majority of the models as well as model qpf suggest any precipitation will be south and southeast of the area.
Boundary/surface relative humidity approaches 100 percent after about midnight. With a 1015mb surface high nosing into the area, light winds and high relative humidity support the NAM solution of at least mentioning some fog across much of the area. Its solution advertises dense fog. 1930z GFS LAMP guidance has some fog now in the 12z-13z timeframe. Increasing high clouds may negate the favorable parameters. For now will leave fog out of the forecast and brief evening shift about its potential. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the lower teens to lower 20s.
Friday-Friday night...various weather systems move across the area ahead of a large scale upper level trough axis which by 12z Saturday is forecast to extend along the Continental Divide. One such disturbance lifts northeast across the northwest half of the area during the day and could produce a few flurries. Presently, the forecast is dry. Another wave moves across during the night, supportive of some flurries and slight chance pops for snow showers.
High temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 30s to lower 40s with low temperatures in the 15 to 20 degree range.
Saturday-Saturday night...there will be a continued slight chance for flurries and/or snow showers in the morning before the upper trough axis moves through, lowering the overall threat for precipitation. Northwest winds gusting up to 35 mph or so are possible behind the trough axis, mainly along/west of Highway 27.
High temperatures are forecast to be in the lower to upper 40s with low temperatures in the middle teens to middle 20s.
Sunday...the forecast area is under northwest flow aloft. There may be enough mid level moisture to reach the western fringes of the forecast area (Yuma/Kit Carson counties) to produce a few snow showers, otherwise it looks dry. It will be breezy to windy with northwest winds gusting to 35, maybe 40 mph. High temperatures are forecast to be in the middle 40s to lower 50s.
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Thursday)
Issued at 150 PM MST Thu Nov 30 2023
Dry conditions are anticipated throughout the extended period.
Sunday night the upper trough is expected to move over the Mississippi River Basin, bringing northwest flow over the Tri-State area. Temperatures Sunday night are forecast to drop into the upper teens to mid 20s. A ridge over the Western CONUS is expected to move further over the Great Plains on Monday while a lee surface trough moves in along the Front Range. Weak upper shortwaves may pass over the area along the ridge; however, little to no impact is expected.
Throughout the day and into the overnight hours, an upper trough is expected to travel along the ridge over the Northern CONUS, sending a cold front through the area Monday night. Above normal temperatures are expected early next week. High temperatures are forecast to reach the upper 50s to lower 60s Monday with overnight lows in the 20s to lower 30s. Despite the frontal passage, temperatures are expected to remain similar on Tuesday. On Wednesday, the upper ridge is expected to return over the High Plains with an area of high pressure near the surface located over the Four Corners region through Thursday. Temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday are expected to be similar with highs in the mid 60s and overnight lows in the 20s to mid 30s.
AVIATION
(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 426 PM MST Thu Nov 30 2023
KGLD...VFR conditions are expected throughout the 00Z TAF period beginning with north-northeasterly winds around 9 kts that become variable around 6 kts at 02Z. At 08Z, KGLD may see some patchy fog developing around the terminal, but VFR visibilities look to remain in the latest model runs. By 16Z, the fog potential ends for KGLD with winds then becoming southerly around 7 kts at 18Z through the end of the TAF period.
KMCK...VFR conditions are also seen during the 00Z TAF period starting with north-northeasterly winds around 8 kts. At 06Z, KMCK then expects winds to become variable around 6 kts through the rest of the TAF period.
Will continue to monitor the fog potential at both terminals as the light winds expected overnight may promote some formation and will amend TAFs if needed.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 433 PM MST Thu Nov 30 2023
SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 150 PM MST Thu Nov 30 2023
Tonight...a small/compact upper level low pressure center is forecast to be in northern Texas/Oklahoma border around 00z tonight, moving to the northeast into Missouri overnight. 850-500mb moisture from a majority of the models as well as model qpf suggest any precipitation will be south and southeast of the area.
Boundary/surface relative humidity approaches 100 percent after about midnight. With a 1015mb surface high nosing into the area, light winds and high relative humidity support the NAM solution of at least mentioning some fog across much of the area. Its solution advertises dense fog. 1930z GFS LAMP guidance has some fog now in the 12z-13z timeframe. Increasing high clouds may negate the favorable parameters. For now will leave fog out of the forecast and brief evening shift about its potential. Low temperatures are forecast to be in the lower teens to lower 20s.
Friday-Friday night...various weather systems move across the area ahead of a large scale upper level trough axis which by 12z Saturday is forecast to extend along the Continental Divide. One such disturbance lifts northeast across the northwest half of the area during the day and could produce a few flurries. Presently, the forecast is dry. Another wave moves across during the night, supportive of some flurries and slight chance pops for snow showers.
High temperatures are forecast to be in the upper 30s to lower 40s with low temperatures in the 15 to 20 degree range.
Saturday-Saturday night...there will be a continued slight chance for flurries and/or snow showers in the morning before the upper trough axis moves through, lowering the overall threat for precipitation. Northwest winds gusting up to 35 mph or so are possible behind the trough axis, mainly along/west of Highway 27.
High temperatures are forecast to be in the lower to upper 40s with low temperatures in the middle teens to middle 20s.
Sunday...the forecast area is under northwest flow aloft. There may be enough mid level moisture to reach the western fringes of the forecast area (Yuma/Kit Carson counties) to produce a few snow showers, otherwise it looks dry. It will be breezy to windy with northwest winds gusting to 35, maybe 40 mph. High temperatures are forecast to be in the middle 40s to lower 50s.
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Thursday)
Issued at 150 PM MST Thu Nov 30 2023
Dry conditions are anticipated throughout the extended period.
Sunday night the upper trough is expected to move over the Mississippi River Basin, bringing northwest flow over the Tri-State area. Temperatures Sunday night are forecast to drop into the upper teens to mid 20s. A ridge over the Western CONUS is expected to move further over the Great Plains on Monday while a lee surface trough moves in along the Front Range. Weak upper shortwaves may pass over the area along the ridge; however, little to no impact is expected.
Throughout the day and into the overnight hours, an upper trough is expected to travel along the ridge over the Northern CONUS, sending a cold front through the area Monday night. Above normal temperatures are expected early next week. High temperatures are forecast to reach the upper 50s to lower 60s Monday with overnight lows in the 20s to lower 30s. Despite the frontal passage, temperatures are expected to remain similar on Tuesday. On Wednesday, the upper ridge is expected to return over the High Plains with an area of high pressure near the surface located over the Four Corners region through Thursday. Temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday are expected to be similar with highs in the mid 60s and overnight lows in the 20s to mid 30s.
AVIATION
(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 426 PM MST Thu Nov 30 2023
KGLD...VFR conditions are expected throughout the 00Z TAF period beginning with north-northeasterly winds around 9 kts that become variable around 6 kts at 02Z. At 08Z, KGLD may see some patchy fog developing around the terminal, but VFR visibilities look to remain in the latest model runs. By 16Z, the fog potential ends for KGLD with winds then becoming southerly around 7 kts at 18Z through the end of the TAF period.
KMCK...VFR conditions are also seen during the 00Z TAF period starting with north-northeasterly winds around 8 kts. At 06Z, KMCK then expects winds to become variable around 6 kts through the rest of the TAF period.
Will continue to monitor the fog potential at both terminals as the light winds expected overnight may promote some formation and will amend TAFs if needed.
GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Wind History from ITR
(wind in knots)
Goodland, KS,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE