Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for West Milford, WV
 | Sunrise 7:32 AM Sunset 7:28 PM Moonrise 4:52 AM Moonset 2:58 PM |
Marine Forecasts
NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025. If your report is out of date, please click Edit
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Milford, WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 150946 AFDRLX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 546 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
TDs were lowered for this afternoon to reflect a drier airmass until additional moisture arrives later in the day. Wind gusts were increased today and especially tonight into Monday. Snow amounts have increased for the mountains and there is an increasing chance for light snow accumulations on grassy surfaces in the lowlands by later Monday afternoon into Monday evening.
0538 AM Aviation Updated below...
KEY MESSAGES
1. A strong cold front will cross the region late Sunday night into Monday morning, bringing a threat of damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes despite limited instability.
2. Temperatures will crash on Monday, transitioning rain to snow. Light snow accumulations are expected in the Northeast Mountains Monday night. A dusting possible for the lowlands by Monday evening.
3. A widespread hard freeze is expected Monday night through Tuesday night, posing a significant hazard to any very early season vegetation that has emerged.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Little has changed with the forecast of the potent cold front that crosses the region tonight (Sunday night) into Monday morning. While we did not issue a wind adv overnight, its increasingly likely an SPS/wind adv will be issued this afternoon to account for the passage of the front. Regardless of how strong/severe the thunderstorms are as they cross the area, mechanical mixing along the frontal bndry could easily mix strong winds gusts to the sfc.
As mentioned in the previous AFD, MLCAPE is negligible, but a strong LLJ of 55-70 kts will enhance any wind associated with thunderstorms or heavier showers along the frontal bndry. There remains an isolated tornado threat along the line of convection/QLSC, but the best chance for that will be across NE KY and SE OH and then again with the reinvigorating QLCS in the extreme eastern portion of the CWA late Monday morning.
Current timing for the front is roughly 3-5am across NE KY and SE OH, 5-8am for SW VA and the rest of WV. There could be an additional developing line of convection or reinvigorating of the QLCS/line of convection late morning across the mtns as it moves east from WV into western VA.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
As the cold front crosses the region, temps will plummet from the lower 60s/50s early Monday morning to 30s/40s by later afternoon. Rain will change to snow as temps drop with light snow accumulations in the mtns. 1-4 inches of snow is likely in the mtns, with and inch or so in the foothills. The lowlands are a little tricker. There are some solutions which show an additional precip shield ride north post frontal bndry, thus extending more of the synoptic precip before transitioning to lake enhanced snow showers. If this solution were to occur, there could be a quicker changeover east of I-77 with a more rapid temp drop due to dynamical cooling. This could result in a slushy coating up to 1 inch of snow on grassy/elevated surfaces late afternoon into early evening. Some of the higher ridges could see closer to two inches of snow. Current probs of up to 1 inch of snow for the lowlands, generally east of I-77, is around 30 percent. While snow has been trending up for the lowlands, its important to remember this will be during the late afternoon with a much higher sun angle and warm ground surfaces, thus limiting impacts.
It is possible an eventual winter weather advisory could be needed for Monday evening into Tuesday morning for at least the mtns and to a lesser extent the foothills, but confidence is too low at this point. With plummeting temperatures and the possibility for heavier lake enhanced snow showers/squalls, could create at least a few roadway impacts as the sun goes down. Even in the lowlands, untreated roads Monday night into Tuesday morning could see patchy slick conditions. This will need to be watched through the day.
KEY MESSAGE 3...
The influx of arctic air will bring a prolonged period of sub- freezing temperatures to the region. By Tuesday morning, low temperatures will fall into the mid-teens to lower 20s across the lowlands, and into the single digits in the Northeast Mountains. High pressure building in Tuesday night will promote another night of excellent radiational cooling. This hard freeze will be damaging to unprotected sensitive early-season vegetation that has emerged with recent warm and wet conditions.
AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
LLWS this morning for some TAF locales, before SFC winds increase later this morning. Expect breezy SE winds between 12-18 kts with gusts 27-33kts this afternoon and into the evening. Stronger gusts in excess of 40 kts possible along the frontal bndry early Monday morning, with localized wind gusts around 50 kts in any severe thunderstorm. Rain changes to snow Monday afternoon from west to east with MVFR/IFR CIGs /VSBYs possible from rain and/or snow.
Snow showers continue into Monday night and likely into Tuesday morning with additional reductions to CIGs /VSBYs possible in heavier snow showers.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...
Stronger wind gusts are possible, especially along the frontal bndry, heavier showers, and thunderstorms.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: None.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 EDT 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 12Z MONDAY...
IFR possible in rain/snow showers on Monday into Tuesday morning.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 546 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
TDs were lowered for this afternoon to reflect a drier airmass until additional moisture arrives later in the day. Wind gusts were increased today and especially tonight into Monday. Snow amounts have increased for the mountains and there is an increasing chance for light snow accumulations on grassy surfaces in the lowlands by later Monday afternoon into Monday evening.
0538 AM Aviation Updated below...
KEY MESSAGES
1. A strong cold front will cross the region late Sunday night into Monday morning, bringing a threat of damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes despite limited instability.
2. Temperatures will crash on Monday, transitioning rain to snow. Light snow accumulations are expected in the Northeast Mountains Monday night. A dusting possible for the lowlands by Monday evening.
3. A widespread hard freeze is expected Monday night through Tuesday night, posing a significant hazard to any very early season vegetation that has emerged.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Little has changed with the forecast of the potent cold front that crosses the region tonight (Sunday night) into Monday morning. While we did not issue a wind adv overnight, its increasingly likely an SPS/wind adv will be issued this afternoon to account for the passage of the front. Regardless of how strong/severe the thunderstorms are as they cross the area, mechanical mixing along the frontal bndry could easily mix strong winds gusts to the sfc.
As mentioned in the previous AFD, MLCAPE is negligible, but a strong LLJ of 55-70 kts will enhance any wind associated with thunderstorms or heavier showers along the frontal bndry. There remains an isolated tornado threat along the line of convection/QLSC, but the best chance for that will be across NE KY and SE OH and then again with the reinvigorating QLCS in the extreme eastern portion of the CWA late Monday morning.
Current timing for the front is roughly 3-5am across NE KY and SE OH, 5-8am for SW VA and the rest of WV. There could be an additional developing line of convection or reinvigorating of the QLCS/line of convection late morning across the mtns as it moves east from WV into western VA.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
As the cold front crosses the region, temps will plummet from the lower 60s/50s early Monday morning to 30s/40s by later afternoon. Rain will change to snow as temps drop with light snow accumulations in the mtns. 1-4 inches of snow is likely in the mtns, with and inch or so in the foothills. The lowlands are a little tricker. There are some solutions which show an additional precip shield ride north post frontal bndry, thus extending more of the synoptic precip before transitioning to lake enhanced snow showers. If this solution were to occur, there could be a quicker changeover east of I-77 with a more rapid temp drop due to dynamical cooling. This could result in a slushy coating up to 1 inch of snow on grassy/elevated surfaces late afternoon into early evening. Some of the higher ridges could see closer to two inches of snow. Current probs of up to 1 inch of snow for the lowlands, generally east of I-77, is around 30 percent. While snow has been trending up for the lowlands, its important to remember this will be during the late afternoon with a much higher sun angle and warm ground surfaces, thus limiting impacts.
It is possible an eventual winter weather advisory could be needed for Monday evening into Tuesday morning for at least the mtns and to a lesser extent the foothills, but confidence is too low at this point. With plummeting temperatures and the possibility for heavier lake enhanced snow showers/squalls, could create at least a few roadway impacts as the sun goes down. Even in the lowlands, untreated roads Monday night into Tuesday morning could see patchy slick conditions. This will need to be watched through the day.
KEY MESSAGE 3...
The influx of arctic air will bring a prolonged period of sub- freezing temperatures to the region. By Tuesday morning, low temperatures will fall into the mid-teens to lower 20s across the lowlands, and into the single digits in the Northeast Mountains. High pressure building in Tuesday night will promote another night of excellent radiational cooling. This hard freeze will be damaging to unprotected sensitive early-season vegetation that has emerged with recent warm and wet conditions.
AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
LLWS this morning for some TAF locales, before SFC winds increase later this morning. Expect breezy SE winds between 12-18 kts with gusts 27-33kts this afternoon and into the evening. Stronger gusts in excess of 40 kts possible along the frontal bndry early Monday morning, with localized wind gusts around 50 kts in any severe thunderstorm. Rain changes to snow Monday afternoon from west to east with MVFR/IFR CIGs /VSBYs possible from rain and/or snow.
Snow showers continue into Monday night and likely into Tuesday morning with additional reductions to CIGs /VSBYs possible in heavier snow showers.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...
Stronger wind gusts are possible, especially along the frontal bndry, heavier showers, and thunderstorms.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: None.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 EDT 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 12Z MONDAY...
IFR possible in rain/snow showers on Monday into Tuesday morning.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KCKB
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KCKB
Wind History Graph: CKB
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of great lakes
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