Tall Timber, CO Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tall Timber, CO

April 14, 2024 8:16 PM MDT (02:16 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:21 AM   Sunset 7:40 PM
Moonrise 9:38 AM   Moonset 12:51 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tall Timber, CO
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Area Discussion for - Denver/Boulder, CO
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FXUS65 KBOU 150020 AFDBOU

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 620 PM MDT Sun Apr 14 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Very warm, dry, and gusty southeast winds to produce Red Flag conditions over of the plains and Palmer Divide.

- Critical fire weather conditions over the plains Monday afternoon.

- A windy weather system will bring snow to the mountains with rain showers likely on the plains late Monday into Tuesday.

- Cooler, windy and unsettled the rest of the week. Occasional snow showers in the mountains with a chance of rain showers for the plains.

SHORT TERM /Through Monday/
Issued at 230 PM MDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Southerly flow aloft will continue to increase tonight and Monday ahead of an upper level low over California and Nevada. As it approaches Colorado, surface pressure will lower over Wyoming and northern Colorado causing southeast winds to increase this afternoon and evening. On Monday, a surface low forms over northeast Colorado. In addition this, the strong flow aloft mixing down will bring gusty south to southwest winds to 45 mph over the eastern plains. Critical Fire Weather/Red Flag conditons are expected over the eastern plains because of these gusty winds and low relative humidities. See the Fire Weather Section for details.

The upper level low moves into Colorado Monday afternoon. This will bring rain and mountain snow to western and central Colorado starting Monday afternoon. A cold front will drop south around the surface low bringing gusty winds to 50 mph with it. Some showers will be possible behind it, but downslope flow will make it difficult for them to form.

LONG TERM /Monday night through Sunday/
Issued at 300 PM MDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Models have the upper closed low right over central Colorado at 00Z late Monday afternoon. By 12Z Tuesday morning, its east of the CWA in northwestern Kansas. Weak to moderate northwesterly flow aloft is in place Tuesday with 70 to 80 knot zonal flow is progged at jet level Wednesday night. The synoptic scale energy is not very significant Monday night through Wednesday night with shots of both weak upward and downward vertical velocity. It is noisy with nothing significant either way. The low level wind and pressure fields now show pretty decent low level downsloping winds for Monday night. Cross sections on some of the models show the potential for a downsloping wind set up late Monday night and Tuesday. Not all agree. I will not go with wind highlights at this time, but stay tuned.

For moisture, it is deep over the mountains Monday night into Tuesday morning. The synoptic scale energy is good early, but not after 12Z Tuesday morning. Mountain top wind speeds and directions are pretty good for orographic enhancement. We will go with a Winter Storm Watch for our alpine zones from 21Z Monday to 21Z Tuesday. For the plains, moisture is not bad and the QPF fields do show some measurable rainfall over most of the plains Monday evening into Tuesday afternoon. There is very limited CAPE progged over the far northeastern CWA Monday night into Tuesday morning. Will leave the low chances of thunder in and the 50-70% pops going.

For temperatures, models show a cold front move down sometime Wednesday night. Highs on both Tuesday and Wednesday look to be above seasonal normals.

For the later days, Thursday through Sunday, models now have moderately strong west-southwesterly flow aloft over our CWA through the period. The synoptic scale energy is weak and fairly convoluted all four days. There is a decent amount of moisture progged Wednesday afternoon into Saturday night. The airmass is still expected to be cooler than normal Thursday through Saturday, but nowhere near as cold is models indicated yesterday and the day before. The trend has certainly been getting warming for the same period. Will leave the, mainly, "scattered" pops going through Saturday evening, with a drier Sunday.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday/
Issued at 543 PM MDT Sun Apr 14 2024

VFR conditions will continue through the TAF period with a 30% chance of IMC conditions beginning around 03Z on Wednesday at KDEN. For tonight, gusty south/southeasterly winds will continue with a lull in gusts for a few hours beginning around 10Z for KAPA and KDEN. Southwest winds will increase again around 15/16Z with gusts up to 30 kts possible. A cold frontal passage will shift winds to the west with a 30% chance of ceilings dropping to 5000', bringing light rain showers and winds gusting up 30-35 kts after 23Z Monday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 230 PM MDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Southeast winds will remain gusty at times across the eastern plains through this evening. Winds subside late tonight and Monday morning, but increase again for late Monday morning and afternoon. Wind gusts to 45 mph and relative humidities in the 5 to 15 percent range will result in Red Flag conditions through early Monday evening. A cold front is expected to bring a gusty wind shift to the west late Monday afternoon into early Monday evening. Windy conditions are also expected Monday afternoon along the Urban Corridor, however relative humidities are expected to stay above 15 percent or fuels are not as susceptible to ignition.

The weather pattern is cooler with increasing moisture from Tuesday onward. Although there may be slightly elevated fire weather conditions over the Palmer Ridge and Lincoln County for a brief time Wednesday late in the day with humidity levels in the teens.
Otherwise critical fire weather conditions are not expected.

BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Winter Storm Watch from Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon for COZ031-033-034.

Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ241-245>247- 249.

Red Flag Warning from noon to 8 PM MDT Monday for COZ241-244>251.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBDU BOULDER MUNI,CO 7 sm21 minNNW 0310 smClear70°F21°F16%29.76
KBJC ROCKY MOUNTAIN METROPOLITAN,CO 11 sm20 minS 08G1560 smA Few Clouds72°F14°F11%29.81
KEIK ERIE MUNI,CO 15 sm21 minSSE 14G218 smClear73°F14°F10%29.76
KLMO VANCE BRAND,CO 16 sm21 minESE 1110 smClear72°F19°F14%29.77
Link to 5 minute data for KBDU


Wind History from BDU
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Tide / Current for
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