Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ingram, PA

KEY MESSAGES
1) Dry conditions and seasonable daytime temperatures through Wednesday.

2) Rain chances return for Thursday into the weekend with a potential warming trend at the start of next week.

DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
High pressure builds in the wake of the departing low resulting in dry weather and seasonable daytime temperatures through Wednesday night. Winds will ease tonight and combined with clear skies, minimum temperatures overnight are likely to drop into the low 50s (about 5-10 degrees below normal). This could lead to the development of patchy fog across the region.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
Rain chances return Thursday, as the next shortwave trough drops into the Great Lakes. This will drive a frontal boundary towards our region, however, there are indications that the boundary may stall somewhere in the Ohio Valley area into the weekend. This is backed up by the upper-level pattern showing a trough stalled just to the northeast.

With a stalled trough, the potential for rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue through at least Saturday.
Currently, there is a low flooding and severe weather threat potential, however, this could change as we approach the weekend.

For the first half of next week, we are watching the potential for a warming trend with daytime temperatures climbing into the upper 80s to near 90F. This would be the result of a strong and stationary upper-level high pressure system.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
High confidence VFR through TAF period with waning cu this evening before another round of cu develops between 3kft-5kft after 15z Wednesday. Weaker surface gradients and wind field also results in calm overnight winds with limited daytime increases.

The only caveat is the low probability of river valley fog between 08z-12z becoming deep enough to impacts terminals like HLG/MGW/FKL due to the clear sky / light wind / cool temperature setup.

Outlook...
A more active weather pattern begins Thursday afternoon/evening into the weekend as multiple waves support periodic shower and thunderstorm chances with varying degrees of restrictions (which will be somewhat dependent on coverage of daytime rain).

PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.