Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Indiana, PA
 | Sunrise 5:45 AM Sunset 8:46 PM Moonrise 2:52 AM Moonset 6:43 PM |
Marine Forecasts
NOTE: Zones updated 4/16/2026. Some zones changed. Use Edit if needed.
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indiana, PA
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS61 KPBZ 130809 AFDPBZ
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 409 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
The threat for severe thunderstorms on Sunday continues, with the timing largely dependent on the position and progression of the cold front.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Isolated river valley fog in northern WV this morning, otherwise quiet today. The potential for strong to severe storms is expected tomorrow afternoon and evening with a passing cold front
2) Quiet weather expected Monday through mid-week; monitoring potential hazardous weather on Thursday
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Confidence remains high that tranquil and dry weather will persist through the next 24 hours as high pressure dominates the region. Patchy early morning fog remains possible south of I-70, particularly along the ridges of West Virginia, where lingering low-level moisture and radiational cooling beneath clearing skies may promote development.
An approaching upper-level trough and an advancing cold front will increase the potential for strong to severe storms on Sunday. Showers and isolated thunderstorms may begin moving into the region as early as 7am to 9am from the southwest, associated with remnant convection that develops across the Plains and Midwest late this evening. Current expectations are that morning showers and storms will remain below severe limits, with lightning posing the primary hazard. However, lingering convection could help enhance instability through the day ahead of the approaching cold front in the evening, setting the stage for stronger storm development. High resolution guidance suggest the prime time for these stronger updrafts would be between 2pm and 6pm, with the threat ending west to east as the cold front drifts southwest late in the evening.
Tornadoes and damaging winds will likely be the primary threat given effective shear near 40kts and the potential for low cigs to promote stretching of rotating updrafts. Hail could occur but given an enhanced freezing level (13-14kft), melting may pose a problem for anything larger than a quarter. Also, there is not a ton of dry air aloft given the potential of early morning convection to prompt hail growth. Expect heavy rainfall rates with this passing disturbance, PWATs range between 1.5-1.8 inches. However, with sufficient shear, the flood potential should remain on the low side; expect narrow swaths of half to one inch of rainfall with advancing showers and storms in isolated areas.
The probability of strong to severe storms decreases between 9pm to 11pm, as the cold front exits east.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
The probability of hazardous weather remains low Monday through Wednesday in the wake of a cold front. High temperatures Monday into Tuesday will likely trend below average with advancing cold air aloft and lingering clouds.
A notable pattern change is expected midweek (Thursday) as the through over the Great Lakes and Northeast that brought cooler conditions lifts north, allowing a warm and more humid air mass to return to the region. This shift may bring an increased risk of severe weather and flooding across portions of the Ohio River Valley. Current machine learning guidance indicates a 15-40% chance of severe storms extending from Indiana to southern New York, likely driven by long-range model projections of an unusually strong low-level jet on the order of 60-70kts.
In addition to the severe weather threat, multiple embedded shortwaves may promote repeated rounds of precipitation, raising concerns for training storms and localized flooding. At this time, the greatest flood risk appears more likely to focus over the Midwest, though the evolution of the pattern will need to be monitored closely in the coming days.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
A brief period of fog may affect MGW early this morning due to lingering low-level moisture and radiational cooling beneath clearing skies. Otherwise, high confidence in VFR conditions today into early tomorrow morning under high pressure. Winds will shift from the west to the southwest over the next 24 hours with an approaching trough from the west.
Outlook...
Mid and low-lvl clouds will build early tomorrow morning, mainly after 11Z, with warm and moisture air advection from the southwest.
Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to advance into the region between 13Z to 16Z. Stronger storms may develop ahead or along a cold front between 19Z to 23Z. MVFR to IFR cigs, low vis, gusty winds, and lightning are expected with storms.
Thunderstorm chance decrease between 01Z to 04Z from west to east as the cold front exits.
PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 409 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
The threat for severe thunderstorms on Sunday continues, with the timing largely dependent on the position and progression of the cold front.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Isolated river valley fog in northern WV this morning, otherwise quiet today. The potential for strong to severe storms is expected tomorrow afternoon and evening with a passing cold front
2) Quiet weather expected Monday through mid-week; monitoring potential hazardous weather on Thursday
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Confidence remains high that tranquil and dry weather will persist through the next 24 hours as high pressure dominates the region. Patchy early morning fog remains possible south of I-70, particularly along the ridges of West Virginia, where lingering low-level moisture and radiational cooling beneath clearing skies may promote development.
An approaching upper-level trough and an advancing cold front will increase the potential for strong to severe storms on Sunday. Showers and isolated thunderstorms may begin moving into the region as early as 7am to 9am from the southwest, associated with remnant convection that develops across the Plains and Midwest late this evening. Current expectations are that morning showers and storms will remain below severe limits, with lightning posing the primary hazard. However, lingering convection could help enhance instability through the day ahead of the approaching cold front in the evening, setting the stage for stronger storm development. High resolution guidance suggest the prime time for these stronger updrafts would be between 2pm and 6pm, with the threat ending west to east as the cold front drifts southwest late in the evening.
Tornadoes and damaging winds will likely be the primary threat given effective shear near 40kts and the potential for low cigs to promote stretching of rotating updrafts. Hail could occur but given an enhanced freezing level (13-14kft), melting may pose a problem for anything larger than a quarter. Also, there is not a ton of dry air aloft given the potential of early morning convection to prompt hail growth. Expect heavy rainfall rates with this passing disturbance, PWATs range between 1.5-1.8 inches. However, with sufficient shear, the flood potential should remain on the low side; expect narrow swaths of half to one inch of rainfall with advancing showers and storms in isolated areas.
The probability of strong to severe storms decreases between 9pm to 11pm, as the cold front exits east.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
The probability of hazardous weather remains low Monday through Wednesday in the wake of a cold front. High temperatures Monday into Tuesday will likely trend below average with advancing cold air aloft and lingering clouds.
A notable pattern change is expected midweek (Thursday) as the through over the Great Lakes and Northeast that brought cooler conditions lifts north, allowing a warm and more humid air mass to return to the region. This shift may bring an increased risk of severe weather and flooding across portions of the Ohio River Valley. Current machine learning guidance indicates a 15-40% chance of severe storms extending from Indiana to southern New York, likely driven by long-range model projections of an unusually strong low-level jet on the order of 60-70kts.
In addition to the severe weather threat, multiple embedded shortwaves may promote repeated rounds of precipitation, raising concerns for training storms and localized flooding. At this time, the greatest flood risk appears more likely to focus over the Midwest, though the evolution of the pattern will need to be monitored closely in the coming days.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
A brief period of fog may affect MGW early this morning due to lingering low-level moisture and radiational cooling beneath clearing skies. Otherwise, high confidence in VFR conditions today into early tomorrow morning under high pressure. Winds will shift from the west to the southwest over the next 24 hours with an approaching trough from the west.
Outlook...
Mid and low-lvl clouds will build early tomorrow morning, mainly after 11Z, with warm and moisture air advection from the southwest.
Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to advance into the region between 13Z to 16Z. Stronger storms may develop ahead or along a cold front between 19Z to 23Z. MVFR to IFR cigs, low vis, gusty winds, and lightning are expected with storms.
Thunderstorm chance decrease between 01Z to 04Z from west to east as the cold front exits.
PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.
Link to 5 hour of 5 minute data for KIDI
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KIDI
Wind History Graph: IDI
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of great lakes
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