Lorain, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lorain, OH

June 16, 2024 11:19 PM EDT (03:19 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:52 AM   Sunset 9:06 PM
Moonrise 2:54 PM   Moonset 1:27 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ145 Vermilion To Avon Point Oh-avon Point To Willowick Oh- Willowick To Geneva-on-the Lake Oh-geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- 930 Am Edt Sun Jun 16 2024

This afternoon - East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.

Monday - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.

Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday.
the water temperature off toledo is 71 degrees, off cleveland 68 degrees, and off erie 68 degrees.

LEZ100
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lorain, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 170140 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 940 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
An upper ridge will remain in place over the region through this week, resulting in near-record temperatures across the area.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
A line of showers and storms extends across Southwest Lower Michigan into North Central Indiana. The main trajectory of this line appears to be close to due east and should miss most of the forecast area to the north toward the Detroit metro. Some residual convection on the south end may scrape the Toledo metro toward daybreak and have some PoPs mentioned for the end of the tonight period. Temperatures continue to be on track for overnight lows.

7 PM Update...
Minor changes to the forecast at this time. A lake breeze has pushed up to 30 miles inland from Lake Erie and temperatures are considerably cooler north of the boundary. The boundary will wash out over the next couple of hours before conditions cool with the diurnal cycle. Lows remain on target to the mid 60s to lower 70s.

Previous Discussion...
Upper ridge will continue to build over the region through the near term period, resulting in the beginning of a prolonged heatwave. Temperatures will be noticeably warmer tonight; instead of lows in the 50s like Saturday night, tonight's lows will be in the mid 60s to lower 70s. A shortwave and MCV will ripple across lower Michigan overnight and weakening showers/thunderstorms may clip NW OH early Monday morning, but still quite a bit of spread in guidance in regards to the evolution of the convection and the southward placement by the time it nears the CWA Convection may develop along any residual boundaries from this feature or a lake breeze boundary Monday afternoon, but otherwise there won't be much in the way of convergence so overall precipitation chances will be relatively low (~20-30%) late Monday morning into Monday afternoon. With that being said, the atmosphere will be quite juicy so any showers/storms that develop could produce locally heavy rainfall.

While rain chances are low, any clouds/precipitation could throw a wrench into the heat index forecast and result in sub-100 degree apparent temperatures Monday. There's a decent chance that heat indices will touch 100 degrees in at least a few spots Monday afternoon, but would like to have a better idea of the cloud/precipitation forecast before making a decision on locations that will (likely marginally) meet Heat Advisory criteria Monday. Opted to maintain the Excessive Heat Watch for now due to the lower confidence in precipitation chances/placement. In the event of a dry forecast with less cloud cover, heat indices may be a touch higher. Monday's highs will climb into the 90s with locations near the I-75 corridor possibly creeping into the upper 90s and expect dew points to increase throughout the day, reaching at least the upper 60s by Monday afternoon. Even if a Heat Advisory isn't needed for Monday, heat indices will climb well into the 90s areawide.

The aforementioned shortwave should lift away from the area by Monday evening and overnight lows will only manage to fall into the low to mid 70s with slightly warmer temps possible in urban areas. Can't rule out a stray shower, but generally expect dry (albeit muggy) weather Monday night with clouds increasing from the southwest as the next shortwave climbs the ridge.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
A dominant upper level ridge will be in place over the eastern US during the short term period. The associated surface high on Tuesday will be centered near the East Coast, putting the forecast area on the backside of the high. This positioning should allow of a period of increased low level moisture to sneak in through Tuesday afternoon. With plenty of instability and isentropic lift, especially across eastern counties, opted to maintain chance PoPs through Tuesday afternoon with thunderstorms possible. Primary concern with any thunderstorms will be heavy rainfall and localized wind, but not anticipating anything severe or widespread at this point. High temperatures on Tuesday will climb into the 90s across the area with apparent temperatures values in the upper 90s, possibly touching 100 in some locations including the urban heat islands. The potential caveat to the temperature forecast is that in areas where showers develop, temperatures will locally cool a bit, although humidity values will increase. By Tuesday night, the aforementioned high pressure retrogrades a bit, drying out the low levels again and marking the return to dry conditions. Overnight lows will only drop into the low to mid 70s, not providing much relief from the hot day. As discussed throughout the last week, a heat wave will be well established across the area by midweek with temperatures on Wednesday climbing into the 90s and heat index values possibly exceeding 100 for areas along and west of I71.
Overnight lows will continue to only drop into the 70s on Wednesday night.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The long term forecast is not going to look much different than the rest of the week with the dominant ridging pattern continuing to influence the weather across the area. Have opted to introduce a slight chance of PoPs on Friday as a weak boundary approaching the southern shores of Lake Erie from the north, however models suggest it becoming stalled before lifting north as a warm front Saturday.
Due to this, opted to only include the immediate lakeshore in the precipitation potential, but will continue to monitor in the coming updates to see if models maintain this boundary. At the far end of the long term period late Saturday into Sunday, long range models suggest a low pressure finally tracking into the region and bringing the potential for showers and cooler temperatures. Exact timing of this low diverges amongst models, but they all suggest this dominant high finally beginning to move east. With that in mind, maintained well above average temperatures in the 90s through Saturday with slightly cooler temperatures on Sunday.

AVIATION /00Z Monday THROUGH Friday/
Primarily VFR conditions are expected through the period. Clear skies will persist through the overnight hours. A lake breeze boundary has pushed inland, passing south of KCLE and KERI.
North winds will continue over the next hour or two before the boundary washes out and southerly flow returns to these terminals. Mid level clouds from remnant convection this evening and some diurnal cumulus will enter for Monday. There is some potential for clouds to become some isolated showers and storms but confidence in coverage and timing is very low at this time to put into TAF. South to southwest flow will be favored through the end of the TAF period, outside of any slight variation due to showers or storms.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Thursday. Isolated thunderstorms are possible Tuesday afternoon, but confidence is low.

MARINE
East-northeast winds of 5-10 knots today will shift to become south- southwest on Monday and will persist through this week as high pressure remains dominant over the region. Waves today will linger at 1-2 feet along the lakeshore, but should generally be 1 foot or less for the remainder of the week. There is a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday afternoon, but nothing widespread is expected.

CLIMATE
A prolonged stretch of hot weather is expected this week.
Temperatures are forecast to approach or exceed record highs on several days. The records for Monday, June 17 to Friday, June 21 are listed below for our official climate sites.

Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie 06-17 97(1994) 94(1936) 94(2018) 94(2018) 95(1994) 90(2018)
06-18 98(1994) 93(1994) 96(1944) 96(1944) 95(1994) 92(2018)
06-19 98(1995) 94(1994) 92(1995) 94(1994) 94(1994) 92(1931)
06-20 98(1953) 94(1988) 96(1988) 95(1933) 95(1933) 92(2016)
06-21 100(2022) 96(1988) 95(2022) 97(1933) 98(1933) 95(1933)

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...Excessive Heat Watch from Monday morning through Friday evening for OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047- 089.
Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for OHZ010>014- 020>022-089.
PA...Excessive Heat Watch from Monday morning through Friday evening for PAZ001>003.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
LORO1 2 mi50 minSSE 6G7 76°F
45204 4 mi20 minS 5.8G7.8 70°F1 ft
45196 16 mi40 minSE 3.9G5.8 71°F 70°F2 ft29.9668°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 19 mi40 minESE 9.7G14 70°F 69°F29.9666°F
45203 19 mi20 minSW 7.8G9.7 77°F 71°F1 ft62°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 19 mi95 min0 67°F 29.9865°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 20 mi20 minS 5.1G6 76°F 29.93
OWMO1 21 mi80 minSSE 2.9 76°F 57°F
45176 22 mi90 minSE 3.9G5.8 71°F 70°F2 ft29.9767°F
45205 23 mi20 min3.9G5.8 74°F 70°F1 ft29.9464°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 29 mi50 min0G1.9 72°F 67°F29.95
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 30 mi50 minSE 1G2.9 71°F 70°F29.9461°F
45164 32 mi80 minE 12G14 69°F 67°F2 ft
45206 32 mi20 minS 3.9G5.8 75°F 68°F1 ft29.9363°F
45201 34 mi20 min5.8G9.7 72°F 71°F1 ft30.0167°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 37 mi20 minESE 11G11 71°F 29.96
45202 41 mi20 min3.9G3.9 74°F 72°F1 ft29.9668°F
CMPO1 45 mi110 minESE 8.9G9.9 74°F
45207 46 mi20 minSSE 5.8G7.8 74°F 68°F1 ft29.9464°F


Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KLPR LORAIN COUNTY RGNL,OH 8 sm26 minS 0710 smClear73°F57°F57%30.00
KCLE CLEVELANDHOPKINS INTL,OH 17 sm28 minS 0710 smClear73°F57°F57%29.98
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Cleveland, OH,




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