Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Edgewood, OH
July 3, 2024 1:34 AM EDT (05:34 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:51 AM Sunset 9:03 PM Moonrise 2:18 AM Moonset 6:29 PM |
LEZ148 Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh-conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 909 Pm Edt Tue Jul 2 2024
Rest of tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy late this evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday - South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday - West winds 10 knots or less. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday.
the water temperature off toledo is 75 degrees, off cleveland 71 degrees, and off erie 71 degrees.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday.
the water temperature off toledo is 75 degrees, off cleveland 71 degrees, and off erie 71 degrees.
LEZ100
No data
No data
FXUS61 KCLE 030108 AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 908 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
Upper level ridge builds to the east as low pressure centered over the Midwest lifts a warm front across the region tonight. This low will then drag a cold front east across the region during the afternoon and evening on Wednesday. The cold front will stall south of the area for Thursday leaving unsettled weather across the region through the end of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
900 pm update...
There were no changes needed for the evening and overnight forecast.
Previous discussion...
Quiet weather will continue through tonight as an upper ridge and surface high pressure build toward the East Coast. By tonight, a warm front will begin to lift northeastward through Northern Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania. This front will usher in warm and moist air with warm overnight lows settling in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Surface low pressure over the Great Lakes will drag a cold front across the region Wednesday afternoon and evening. The front will be entering a warm and moist environment characterized by temperatures in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees, dew points in the upper 60s to lower 70s, and MUCAPE values ranging between 1500-2000 J/kg. The chance for showers with scattered thunderstorms will increase along and ahead of the front Wednesday afternoon and evening, generally between 2 and 10 PM. For now, our entire forecast area remains in a Marginal Risk (Level 1/5) for severe weather with a primary hazard of damaging wind gusts. There remains some uncertainty with how much cloud cover will move overhead Wednesday morning and early afternoon. Additional cloud cover would inhibit daytime heating which would lead to lower afternoon highs and less instability, therefore decreasing our severe weather potential Wednesday afternoon and evening. By Wednesday night, the front will cross through the region before stalling south of the local area. Multiple upper level shortwaves will move along the frontal boundary and keep shower and thunderstorm chances across the Ohio Valley into the short term period.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
A stationary front sags to the south on Thursday and Thursday night.
Model guidance has been trending southward, so right now expected scattered showers and thunderstorms along and south of US-30 during the day Thursday. 20-40% PoPs areawide Thursday night as this front lifts northward as a warm front.
By Friday, an upper-level trough/closed low approaches from the west, with the upper low centered over Wisconsin by Friday afternoon. At the surface, low pressure becomes collocated with the upper-low, with the warm front extending from this low lifting north across the region late Thursday night into early Friday morning, placing the entire area in the warm sector. Most models have a moist environment with dew points rising into the low 70s within the warm sector on Friday, contributing to MUCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg. Modest mid-level southwesterlies will result in deep layer shear of around 35-45 knots. There is a good chance for organized convection with at least isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Low chance PoPs linger on Saturday as wrap-around moisture from the upper low moves in but high pressure builds in by Saturday night and Sunday before departing to the east Sunday night. Monday and Tuesday will feel like summer as it gets hot and humid with daily low chances of showers and thunderstorms.
AVIATION /00Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/
VFR conditions will continue during the next 24 hours. There will be scattered to broken high level clouds moving through tonight. An increase in mid level clouds around 5,000 feet will move in later Wednesday morning through the afternoon. We kept out the mention of any convection Wednesday afternoon but there may be some widely scattered showers and thunderstorms developing mid to late afternoon. This will be something that may need to be added to future TAFs when we have better timing on any possible impacts to aviation. Otherwise, winds will become southerly 5 to 10 knots tonight and increase to 10 to 15 knots from the south-southwest on Wednesday. Gusts up to 20 knots or so will be possible late Wednesday morning through the afternoon.
Outlook...Non-VFR expected with periodic/scattered showers/thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon through Saturday.
MARINE
Easterly flow this evening becomes southerly as a warm front lifts north across the region. Southerly flow of around 15 knots is expected tonight into Wednesday morning, with flow approaching 20 knots in the eastern basin. Considered a small craft advisory for the eastern nearshore zones but given low confidence and low impact of the timing, decided against issuing. Will give more consideration to it based on additional observations and model guidance later this evening.
Beyond tomorrow, relatively quiet conditions are expected, and should be a relatively calm Lake Erie for 4th of July. Next chance for stronger winds won't be until Friday night into Saturday when a cold frontal passage brings the chance for 20+ knot southwest to west winds.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 908 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
Upper level ridge builds to the east as low pressure centered over the Midwest lifts a warm front across the region tonight. This low will then drag a cold front east across the region during the afternoon and evening on Wednesday. The cold front will stall south of the area for Thursday leaving unsettled weather across the region through the end of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
900 pm update...
There were no changes needed for the evening and overnight forecast.
Previous discussion...
Quiet weather will continue through tonight as an upper ridge and surface high pressure build toward the East Coast. By tonight, a warm front will begin to lift northeastward through Northern Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania. This front will usher in warm and moist air with warm overnight lows settling in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Surface low pressure over the Great Lakes will drag a cold front across the region Wednesday afternoon and evening. The front will be entering a warm and moist environment characterized by temperatures in the upper 80s to near 90 degrees, dew points in the upper 60s to lower 70s, and MUCAPE values ranging between 1500-2000 J/kg. The chance for showers with scattered thunderstorms will increase along and ahead of the front Wednesday afternoon and evening, generally between 2 and 10 PM. For now, our entire forecast area remains in a Marginal Risk (Level 1/5) for severe weather with a primary hazard of damaging wind gusts. There remains some uncertainty with how much cloud cover will move overhead Wednesday morning and early afternoon. Additional cloud cover would inhibit daytime heating which would lead to lower afternoon highs and less instability, therefore decreasing our severe weather potential Wednesday afternoon and evening. By Wednesday night, the front will cross through the region before stalling south of the local area. Multiple upper level shortwaves will move along the frontal boundary and keep shower and thunderstorm chances across the Ohio Valley into the short term period.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
A stationary front sags to the south on Thursday and Thursday night.
Model guidance has been trending southward, so right now expected scattered showers and thunderstorms along and south of US-30 during the day Thursday. 20-40% PoPs areawide Thursday night as this front lifts northward as a warm front.
By Friday, an upper-level trough/closed low approaches from the west, with the upper low centered over Wisconsin by Friday afternoon. At the surface, low pressure becomes collocated with the upper-low, with the warm front extending from this low lifting north across the region late Thursday night into early Friday morning, placing the entire area in the warm sector. Most models have a moist environment with dew points rising into the low 70s within the warm sector on Friday, contributing to MUCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg. Modest mid-level southwesterlies will result in deep layer shear of around 35-45 knots. There is a good chance for organized convection with at least isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Low chance PoPs linger on Saturday as wrap-around moisture from the upper low moves in but high pressure builds in by Saturday night and Sunday before departing to the east Sunday night. Monday and Tuesday will feel like summer as it gets hot and humid with daily low chances of showers and thunderstorms.
AVIATION /00Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/
VFR conditions will continue during the next 24 hours. There will be scattered to broken high level clouds moving through tonight. An increase in mid level clouds around 5,000 feet will move in later Wednesday morning through the afternoon. We kept out the mention of any convection Wednesday afternoon but there may be some widely scattered showers and thunderstorms developing mid to late afternoon. This will be something that may need to be added to future TAFs when we have better timing on any possible impacts to aviation. Otherwise, winds will become southerly 5 to 10 knots tonight and increase to 10 to 15 knots from the south-southwest on Wednesday. Gusts up to 20 knots or so will be possible late Wednesday morning through the afternoon.
Outlook...Non-VFR expected with periodic/scattered showers/thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon through Saturday.
MARINE
Easterly flow this evening becomes southerly as a warm front lifts north across the region. Southerly flow of around 15 knots is expected tonight into Wednesday morning, with flow approaching 20 knots in the eastern basin. Considered a small craft advisory for the eastern nearshore zones but given low confidence and low impact of the timing, decided against issuing. Will give more consideration to it based on additional observations and model guidance later this evening.
Beyond tomorrow, relatively quiet conditions are expected, and should be a relatively calm Lake Erie for 4th of July. Next chance for stronger winds won't be until Friday night into Saturday when a cold frontal passage brings the chance for 20+ knot southwest to west winds.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KHZY
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KHZY
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KHZY
Wind History graph: HZY
(wind in knots)
Cleveland, OH,
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