Climax, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Climax, MI

April 16, 2024 7:22 AM EDT (11:22 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:57 AM   Sunset 8:26 PM
Moonrise 12:15 PM   Moonset 3:04 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LMZ844 St Joseph To South Haven Mi- 405 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from 2 pm edt this afternoon through late tonight - .

Early this morning - East winds around 15 knots. Mostly clear. Waves around 1 foot.

Today - East winds 15 to 25 knots. Mostly Sunny. A chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Tonight - Southeast winds to 30 knots. Rain showers and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet toward daybreak.

Wednesday - South winds around 20 knots veering southwest. Rain showers and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Wednesday night - West winds 15 to 25 knots. Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Thursday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Partly Sunny with a chance of rain showers. Waves 2 to 3 feet.

Friday - Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 3 feet.

Saturday - Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

LMZ800
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Climax, MI
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Area Discussion for - Grand Rapids, MI
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FXUS63 KGRR 160732 AFDGRR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 332 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Sunny this morning, showers/storms tonight

- Strong to severe storms possible Wednesday

- A Period of Rain Thursday Night

- Cooling trend into the weekend



DISCUSSION
Issued at 332 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

- Sunny this morning, showers/storms tonight

High pressure over northwest Ontario will provide some sunshine this morning before high clouds move in from the west this afternoon. Low pressure over the Plains will move east today and push a warm front in our direction.

There's a weak signal for a few showers to develop around mid afternoon over the southwest cwa before diurnal heating wanes and the showers dissipate.

This system looks like it will produce two distinct precipitation events. The first unfolds tonight after 03z as the warm front noses into the region. Expect the usual elevated showers and scattered storms. Any storms that develop will be aided by a piece of vorticity that breaks off the main short wave over IA/MN.
MUCAPE around 700 j/kg point toward a thunder potential but not severe storms. If we do see storms, it will be during round two on Wednesday.

- Strong to severe storms possible Wednesday

The severe threat Wednesday is conditional on how worked over the atmosphere is from any convection that occurs tonight and the degree of recovery prior to the cold front moving through Wednesday. Areas south of I-96 are the most likely to see stronger storms as dynamics are stronger there.

Bulk shear increases to around 50 kts mid morning Wednesday ahead of the occluding cold front. SBCAPE around 1000-1500 j/kg and a mid level wind max nosing in from the southwest will help the cause for stronger storms. The strong shear points toward the potential for some organization and bowing segments.

Once the front moves east of the cwa during the late afternoon, the precipitation will diminish.

- A Period of Rain Thursday Night

As a frontal zone approaches from the west later Thursday, a wave is shown to develop along it while it tracks into MI. FGEN in the DGZ will lead to decent lift while upper level diffluence over the frontal zones supports deeper lift. A ridge of higher PWAT values gets drawn into the front as well, supporting an increased potential for some rain. Ensemble QPF trends have been going up, but overall amounts are looking light, generally under a quarter inch.

- Cooling trend into the weekend

A deepening mid level low in Ontario on Friday, lifts up to Southern Hudson Bay and into Quebec for Saturday. Northwest winds are shown to exist westward through the Canadian Prairies which will act to funnel the cooler air down into MI through the weekend. Ensemble temperature trends are lower so a chilly weekend is looking more likely with time. An increased potential for near or below freezing overnight lows is looking more likely with time. As for a warmup next week, an Alberta Clipper is shown to be dropping down into the Upper Plains Monday into Tuesday. Thus we could see temperatures drop or hold steady into mid week as this system passes by MI. We noted that the ensemble temperature trends for next week are lower for the most part. That decreases the potential for any significant warmup.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 128 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

East to southeast winds will increase through the day today as a wave of low pressure approaches from the southwest. Gusts over 25 knots are looking likely during the afternoon and evening, especially closer to the lakeshore. These winds will act to keep the low levels dry so VFR weather is expected through the day. Mid to upper level moisture will be increasing and during the evening enough saturation occurs to lead to some shower activity. Elevated instability starts to advect in during the evening but it remains weak. At this time we did not feature any storms, but trends will need to be monitored closely.

MARINE
Issued at 332 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

As the strengthening low pressure in the Plains moves in this direction today, surface winds will increase from the east. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect south of Grand Haven from 18z today through 10z Wednesday and will probably need to be extended further into the morning. North of Grand Haven, A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from 18z today through 02z when it's upgraded to a Gale Warning. This is generally a 6 hr window of stronger winds over the northern nearshore zones during the evening and early overnight hours. Once the gales subside after 10z, a Small Craft Advisory will likely takes its place.

GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 6 AM EDT Wednesday for LMZ844>846.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EDT this evening for LMZ847>849.
Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Wednesday for LMZ847>849.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 48 mi43 min ENE 9.9G15 50°F


Wind History for Holland, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KAZO KALAMAZOO/BATTLE CREEK INTL,MI 7 sm29 minE 0710 smClear48°F36°F62%30.10
KBTL BATTLE CREEK EXECUTIVE AT KELLOGG FIELD,MI 12 sm29 minE 0810 smClear48°F34°F57%30.11
KHAI THREE RIVERS MUNI DR HAINES,MI 19 sm27 minE 0510 smClear46°F36°F66%30.10
Link to 5 minute data for KAZO


Wind History from AZO
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
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Grand Rapids/Muskegon, MI,



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