Westfield, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Westfield, NY

June 18, 2024 1:52 AM EDT (05:52 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:39 AM   Sunset 8:57 PM
Moonrise 4:57 PM   Moonset 1:58 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LEZ040 Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 1023 Am Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Rest of today - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday - South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday night - South winds 10 knots or less. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Wednesday - South winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Thursday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

Friday - Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.

LEZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Westfield, NY
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Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 180530 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 130 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
Hot and humid weather through at least Thursday with apparent temperatures during this time likely to reach 100F at many locations Tuesday and Wednesday. There will also be scattered showers and thunderstorms at times, especially during the afternoon and early evening hours.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Little reprieve from the muggy conditions with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s overnight. We still can't rule out a few showers within this muggy conditions and unstable atmosphere. There also could be some fog in the Southern Tier river valleys tonight, especially at locations which receive rain.

Slightly warmer aloft on Tuesday with 850mb temperatures rising to about +20C. It will also be more humid with dew points rising to around 70. This combination will result in dangerously hot conditions outside with heat index values in the upper 90s to lower 100s. Forecast highs trended slightly down due to the increased confidence in daytime instability showers and thunderstorms which will result in modest/localized relief from the heat. However, with this, dew points and moisture are slightly higher so heat index values still support a Heat Advisory for the entire forecast area.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
...Heat Advisory in effect for the entire area as dangerous heat builds through Thursday...

Surface high pressure will remained anchored along the eastern seaboard as a slow amplification of the eastern CONUS ridge takes place during the period. This will result in a deep southerly flow which will bring HOT and HUMID conditions during the day and WARM and MUGGY conditions at night.

Mid level ridge will be firmly in place Wednesday with ensembles showing heights approaching 600 dm. 850 mb temperatures stay around +20C. Most high temperatures again in the upper 80s to lower 90s across the region with valley locations reaching the mid to upper 90s, with apparent temperatures in the upper 90s to lower 100s from midday through the afternoon. Nighttime temperatures will also remain elevated, with muggy conditions lasting even if heat index values drop some after sunset.

Model consensus shows the axis of the anomalously strong nearly 600 decameter ridge will be just to our south and southeast Thursday, just a slight jog from its position on Wednesday. This may bring 500 mb heights down just a smidge, along with surface temperatures/dew points possibly a couple of degrees cooler. All in all, very similar to the hot and steamy conditions expected for Wednesday, with heat index values again ranging from the mid 90s to very low 100s for the bulk of western and northcentral NY.

Positioning/proximity of the upper level ridge will suppress most of convection, but afternoon heating and instability with some forcing along lake breeze boundaries may bring some showers and storms each afternoon. Better chance for an isolated shower/storm would be toward the North Country/Saint Lawrence Valley closer to the northern periphery of the ridge.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A very gradual day-to-day 'cooling' is then expected for the Fri-Sun timeframe as successive shortwaves traversing eastward through central and eastern Canada slowly suppress the ridge to the south, leaving a quasi-zonal flow in place across the CONUS by the end of the period. That said, still want to emphasize that conditions are still going to remain very warm to hot with elevated humidity levels. In terms of temperatures, upper 80s/low 90s Friday will slowly trend downward to the mid and upper 80s by the end of the weekend, with the highest elevations several degrees cooler respectively on any given day. Heat index values will reach the low to mid 90s for all of the lower terrain Friday afternoon, upper 80s to low 90s Saturday afternoon, and mid 80s to near 90 by Sunday.

In terms of precipitation, there will be some increase in convection potential as we close out the work week and head into next weekend.
This will be owed to mainly two things: Upper level disturbances riding the northern periphery of the upper ridge passing closer and closer to the area as the center of the ridge slowly sags further south through the period, while a surface boundary also sags south toward the region from Canada. Areas that do receive some showers/storms, will enjoy some relief, however any reprieve will only be temporary.

A deep trough, sfc low and cold front will track across the region on Sunday night into Monday morning with widespread showers possible. The most notable change with this system will be the cooler air moving in behind the front. Highs on Monday will drop back into the upper 70s to mid 80s for the entire area.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Fog is possible in the Southern Tier river valleys with a brief period of MVFR vsby possible at KJHW. Otherwise, VFR at all terminals.

Mainly VFR flight conditions on Tuesday. Showers and storms will develop during the afternoon hours. Localized MVFR or lower possible.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Saturday...Mainly VFR, but a chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms inland from the lakes.

MARINE
High pressure will be near the eastern Great Lakes through much of this week, offering light winds, generally 15 knots or less on the lakes.

CLIMATE
A prolonged period of heat is expected for our region this week.
Below are record high temperatures for our three main climate sites:

Buffalo

Date
Record Maximum (F)...Record warm Minimum (F)...

June 18
95/1994............73/2006
June 19
90/2001............73/1919
June 20
92/1995............73/2012


Rochester

Date
Record Maximum (F)...Record warm Minimum (F)...

June 18
97/1957............72/2018
June 19
95/2001............72/1919
June 20
95/1953............72/1923


Watertown

Date
Record Maximum (F)...Record warm Minimum (F)...

June 18
91/1957............70/1992
June 19
91/2007............70/1949
June 20
90/1971............71/2012

Temperature records for Buffalo and Rochester date back to 1871.
Temperature records for Watertown date back to 1949.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...Heat Advisory from noon today to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ001- 002-006>008-010>012-019>021-085.
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ003>005-013-014.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
NREP1 11 mi82 minS 13G18 80°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 18 mi52 minSSE 4.1G7 78°F 30.09
EREP1 28 mi52 minS 5.1G8
45142 - Port Colborne 34 mi52 minS 5.8G5.8 72°F 68°F0 ft30.08
WCRP1 37 mi52 minSSE 11G16 78°F
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 39 mi52 min 74°F 30.07


Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KDKK CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY/DUNKIRK,NY 22 sm59 minS 11G1910 smClear81°F64°F58%30.10
KJHW CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY/JAMESTOWN,NY 22 sm56 minS 0610 smClear70°F66°F88%30.18
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Wind History graph: DKK
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Buffalo, NY,




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