Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kenosha, WI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:05AMSunset 7:42PM Friday August 23, 2019 3:49 PM CDT (20:49 UTC) Moonrise 11:58PMMoonset 1:53PM Illumination 42% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ646 Wind Point Wi To Winthrop Harbor Il- 306 Pm Cdt Fri Aug 23 2019
Through early evening..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet late in the afternoon.
Tonight..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots veering east early in the morning. Clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet in the late evening and overnight.
Saturday..East wind 10 to 15 knots veering southeast late in the morning, then backing east early in the afternoon becoming east 10 to 15 knots late in the afternoon. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet late in the afternoon.
Saturday night..East wind 10 to 15 knots veering southeast early in the morning. Mostly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet early in the morning.
Sunday..Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
LMZ646 Expires:201908240900;;098390 FZUS53 KMKX 232006 NSHMKX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 306 PM CDT Fri Aug 23 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ646-240900-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kenosha, WI
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location: 42.58, -87.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
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Fxus63 kmkx 232015
afdmkx
area forecast discussion
national weather service milwaukee sullivan wi
315 pm cdt Fri aug 23 2019

Short term
Today through Sunday night... Forecast confidence is high
big bubble, no trouble. Broad ridge of high pressure slowly moving
across the great lakes will lead to dry and pleasant conditions
through the weekend. Main forecast challenge is with cloud cover
as as the 23.18z rap soundings have been fairly dry, but lapse
rates right under the inversion are just steep enough to produce
a weakly unstable profile from about 925-800mb which in turn has
produced a decent CU field. There actually appears to be some lake
michigan influence with some slightly higher moisture content air
to produce some better clouds there. Should see something similar
through the weekend as a similar setup is in place through the
rest of the great lakes, but shouldn't see deep enough of lift to
produce any rain showers.

Long term
Monday through Thursday night... Forecast confidence is medium
main shot at getting some rain over the next week comes on Monday
as a northern and southern stream system come together to create a
deep closed off trough in central canada by mid-week. Southerly
low level flow will help to push a more moist humid air mass into
southern wisconsin starting on Monday. This system comes in two
waves, the first being a southern stream system that pushes
northward across illinois on into the central great lakes region.

This could clip southeast wisconsin Monday morning, but the
23.12z ECMWF has no precipitation in southern wi while the 23.18z
nam GFS start streaming some light precipitation in across the
state. Thermal profiles are not overly impressive with warm
temperatures aloft and a skinny CAPE profile. The second wave
comes with the main mid level northern stream trough which pulls a
cold front through during the evening hours. Instability still
isn't looking very strong with this period but forcing could end
up being pretty decent due to the strengthening trough. Wind shear
looks good with this feature, but the instability may again be
the limiting factor.

After this cold front passes early on Tuesday, another round of
cooler air gets advected into the region on the southern periphery
of the deepening trough. 850mb temperatures will drop back down
into the 5-7c range through much of the rest of the week. The
23.12z ECMWF pulls a cold front through Thursday evening, so added
in some pops for that period as well.

Aviation(21z tafs)
Vfr conditions are in place across southern wisconsin and are
expected to remain that way through Saturday. Some few sct cumulus
are possible late Saturday morning into the afternoon, but should
stay at 4kft or higher. Winds will be gradually shifting from the
east-northeast to the east-southeast into tomorrow as a ridge of
high pressure drifts across the great lakes.

Marine
North-northeast winds will gradually become more east to
southeasterly through the weekend as a ridge of high pressure
moves through the region. Some stronger south-southeasterly winds
are expected going into Monday as the next low pressure system
tracks through the dakotas. This low pressure system will then get
stuck in central canada and deepen going into mid-week. This
should lead to some stronger westerly winds across the great
lakes, particularly the northern portion of lake michigan going
into Wednesday. Can't rule out some gales for this period with
some colder air getting pulled in along with it.

Mkx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Lm... None.

Tonight Saturday and aviation marine... Halbach
Saturday night through Friday... Halbach


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KNSW3 - Kenosha, WI 3 mi50 min NE 12 G 15 67°F 1023 hPa (-0.7)
45187 8 mi30 min NE 9.7 G 14 72°F 73°F2 ft
45186 15 mi30 min NNE 9.7 G 16 69°F 73°F2 ft
45174 33 mi20 min NNE 12 G 18 74°F4 ft1022.7 hPa
45013 36 mi50 min NE 12 G 16 67°F 70°F3 ft1023.8 hPa (-0.6)
FSTI2 43 mi110 min NE 8.9 69°F
45007 - S MICHIGAN 43NM East Southeast of Milwaukee, WI 45 mi30 min N 16 G 19 66°F 73°F1023.3 hPa54°F
OKSI2 48 mi110 min E 8 G 12 71°F
45177 49 mi110 min 76°F1 ft
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 49 mi30 min NE 16 G 18 69°F 55°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kenosha, Kenosha Regional Airport, WI4 mi1.9 hrsENE 11 G 1910.00 miA Few Clouds73°F57°F59%1023.7 hPa
Chicago/Waukegan Regional Airport, IL11 mi1.9 hrsENE 910.00 miPartly Cloudy70°F53°F55%1022.7 hPa
Racine, Batten International Airport, WI13 mi1.9 hrsNE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F55°F55%1024.3 hPa
Burlington Municipal Airport, WI24 mi95 minE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F57°F66%1023.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KENW

Wind History from ENW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE11E12NE10NE8NE7NE4N5NE4N5N4N4N4N5NE3NE7NE6NE6E11NE10
G15
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G19
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1 day agoNW7NW8N8N6NW3NW3NW4W3W4NW4N5N5N5N5N5N6NE8E12E11
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2 days agoCalmSE3E3NW3W3CalmW4SW3W4SW4W3SW3W4W6W3W6W5W6W7W46W9W9W7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Milwaukee, WI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.