Moravia, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Moravia, NY

April 12, 2024 5:44 PM EDT (21:44 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:25 AM   Sunset 7:45 PM
Moonrise 7:37 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202404121515;;606429 Fzus51 Kbuf 120907 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 507 am edt Fri apr 12 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-121515- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 507 am edt Fri apr 12 2024

.gale warning in effect from this evening through Saturday evening - .

Today - Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest. Periods of rain this morning, then showers likely early this afternoon. A chance of showers late. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.

Tonight - Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. Rain. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 10 to 14 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet.

Saturday - West gales to 35 knots. Rain showers. Waves 12 to 17 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet.

Saturday night - West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 10 to 14 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet.

Sunday - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers likely. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.

Monday - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tuesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
the water temperature off rochester is 44 degrees.

LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moravia, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 121937 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 337 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

SYNOPSIS

Low pressure with a cold frontal boundary will gradually shift northeast of the area Saturday bringing one final round of rain and snow showers. Another frontal boundary and chance for showers will then come through the region Sunday. High pressure then builds into the region early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/

Main concern will be the west and southwest winds through Saturday. Model soundings do show the potential for some wind gusts in the 35-45, isolated 50 mph wind gusts throughout the overnight through Saturday. Given our soggy ground we still have trees that may come down even withe borderline advisory level gusts. Issued a wind advisory for a few Finger Lakes counties as the gusts look a little higher for this location. Used the blend of the current and version 2 of the NBM which have respective biases in opposite directions to get the forecasted gusts.

Temperatures will fall into the mid 30's tonight with another round of precipitation coming through with an upper level low.
Surface dewpoints are still in the 40's this afternoon which makes it a little worrisome with trying to get a changeover overnight to snow. Given the warm ground and higher wetbulb temperatures limited ratios on the high end to around 6:1.
Another quarter of inch of QPF is modeled through Saturday. This gets the highest elevations a coating to an inch or so of snow.
Rain showers look to linger through Saturday with chilly temperatures in the 40's.

Some clearing is likely to occur Saturday night but some warm air advection should keep temperatures from falling much.



SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
200 PM Update...

A weak surface ridge will move across the area Sunday morning, advecting in a warmer airmass, especially across the western Southern Tier and NEPA. Temps should climb into the 60s here, with areas north and east seeing the mid to upper 50s. A shortwave is expected to sweep in from the Great Lakes by early afternoon. Most of NY should see rain showers with an isolated rumble of thunder given forecast soundings show a pretty strong low level inversion as warm air in the mid levels covers the region. Warmer surface temperatures across the western Southern Tier and NEPA helps reduce this inversion, and 0-6km bulk shear of 50-60kts will allow for a better chance of more widespread thunderstorms. This could creep north if temps across the region warm more than currently modeled.

A cold front is expected to dive across the region from the north as the low slides eastward. This will generate more showers and thunderstorms through the evening hours. Temps will fall into the mid 40s across NY and upper 40s across NEPA. A few showers will linger into the overnight hours, but should dissipate well before sunrise. High pressure will fill in behind the front, with NW flow keeping skies cloudy through the day. Temps should rise into the upper 50s to mid 60s. The high pressure center moves into the area Monday night, scattering skies out and bringing light winds. Temps will fall into the upper 30s to low 40s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
205 PM Update...

An active week of weather is in store for the region as multiple low pressure systems impact the area. The first low will move through the Great lakes Wednesday, pushing a warm front through the region.
Rain showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected through the afternoon and evening hours as temps will increase to the upper 60s to mid 70s across the area. A weak ridge fills in behind the departing low Thursday night, but another shortwave is right on its heels, bringing another round of showers and isolated thunderstorms Friday.

AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
We will see a break in the rain for most of the area this afternoon with some improvement in ceilings to VFR at times.
However, MVFR and IFR ceilings should come back in tonight for all sites with additional rain and perhaps a few snow showers for KITH, KBGM and KRME.Continued west to southwest wind gusts of 20-30 mph throughout the TAF period with the highest gusts Saturday afternoon. Low chance for some marginal speed LLWS but it does not sufficient enough for TAF inclusion at this time.

Outlook...

Saturday afternoon...Possible restrictions from rain showers.Gusty winds continue.

Sunday...Chance for rain showers and possible restrictions.

Monday through Wednesday...Mainly VFR, another chance of showers Wednesday.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...Wind Advisory until 6 PM EDT Saturday for NYZ015-016-022-023.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KITH ITHACA TOMPKINS RGNL,NY 15 sm48 minSW 11G1610 smOvercast54°F41°F62%29.27
Link to 5 minute data for KITH


Wind History from ITH
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Binghamton, NY,



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