Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Aurora, NY
 | Sunrise 7:11 AM Sunset 6:35 PM Moonrise 3:56 AM Moonset 4:32 PM |
Marine Forecasts
NOTE: Zones updated 4/16/2026. Some zones changed. Use Edit if needed.
LOZ044 Sodus Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 403 Am Edt Thu Oct 8 2026
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening - .
Today - West winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Tonight - West winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday - West winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of waterspouts in the morning. A chance of showers in the morning. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Friday night - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east less than 10 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday - South winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely Sunday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely Monday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
the water temperature off oswego is 62 degrees, and the water temperature off cape vincent is 58 degrees.
the water temperature off oswego is 62 degrees, and the water temperature off cape vincent is 58 degrees.
LOZ005
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Aurora, NY
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS61 KBGM 081848 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 248 PM EDT Thu Oct 8 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes were made to the forecast with the afternoon forecast package, but did make the onset time of rain on Sunday a bit earlier compared to previous forecasts.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Scattered lake effect rain showers will be present through Friday, mainly along and north of the New York Thruway corridor.
Otherwise, mainly dry conditions are expected through Saturday night.
2) Remnant tropical moisture will result in rainy weather Sunday through Sunday night.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
With a west-northwest flow and 850mb temperatures only around 4C over the warm Great Lakes, scattered lake effect rain showers have been present this afternoon, mainly along and north of the NY Thruway corridor. This pattern is expected to continue tonight right through Friday, with mainly dry conditions elsewhere. Otherwise, it will be breezy both this afternoon and Friday afternoon with occasional gusts of 20-30 mph possible.
Temperatures will be seasonable with lows tonight in the upper 30s to mid 40s and highs on Friday in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
One more rain-free day is expected on Saturday with high pressure in control. Mostly sunny skies are expected with highs in the 60s.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
The center of the remnants of what is now Hurricane Isaias will move into the Ohio Valley on Sunday as the circulation begins to dissipate into an open wave. This tropical moisture will surge northeastward into our region on Sunday, especially Sunday afternoon through Sunday night. Moderate to locally heavy rainfall will be possible during this timeframe, but with the quick movement of this moisture, combined with dry antecedent conditions, the threat for flooding looks low at this time.
This moisture will depart the area on Monday, which will bring a return to mainly dry conditions. That being said, a few lingering light rain showers cannot be ruled out, especially in the morning. A frontal system may bring the next chance for rain showers by Tuesday, but timing and placement of this front is uncertain this far out.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Mostly VFR conditions are expected at all sites through the period, with the exception for some brief LIFR fog expected to develop at ELM early tomorrow morning. Gusty northwest winds continue this afternoon before turning light again around sunset this evening. Gusts return again late tomorrow morning also from the northwest.
Outlook...
Friday through Saturday night...Mainly VFR with valley fog possible in the morning hours.
Sunday through Monday...Scattered rain showers with associated restrictions possible.
Tuesday...Restrictions possible as another low pressure system looks to approach the region with showers.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 248 PM EDT Thu Oct 8 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
No significant changes were made to the forecast with the afternoon forecast package, but did make the onset time of rain on Sunday a bit earlier compared to previous forecasts.
KEY MESSAGES
1) Scattered lake effect rain showers will be present through Friday, mainly along and north of the New York Thruway corridor.
Otherwise, mainly dry conditions are expected through Saturday night.
2) Remnant tropical moisture will result in rainy weather Sunday through Sunday night.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
With a west-northwest flow and 850mb temperatures only around 4C over the warm Great Lakes, scattered lake effect rain showers have been present this afternoon, mainly along and north of the NY Thruway corridor. This pattern is expected to continue tonight right through Friday, with mainly dry conditions elsewhere. Otherwise, it will be breezy both this afternoon and Friday afternoon with occasional gusts of 20-30 mph possible.
Temperatures will be seasonable with lows tonight in the upper 30s to mid 40s and highs on Friday in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
One more rain-free day is expected on Saturday with high pressure in control. Mostly sunny skies are expected with highs in the 60s.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
The center of the remnants of what is now Hurricane Isaias will move into the Ohio Valley on Sunday as the circulation begins to dissipate into an open wave. This tropical moisture will surge northeastward into our region on Sunday, especially Sunday afternoon through Sunday night. Moderate to locally heavy rainfall will be possible during this timeframe, but with the quick movement of this moisture, combined with dry antecedent conditions, the threat for flooding looks low at this time.
This moisture will depart the area on Monday, which will bring a return to mainly dry conditions. That being said, a few lingering light rain showers cannot be ruled out, especially in the morning. A frontal system may bring the next chance for rain showers by Tuesday, but timing and placement of this front is uncertain this far out.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Mostly VFR conditions are expected at all sites through the period, with the exception for some brief LIFR fog expected to develop at ELM early tomorrow morning. Gusty northwest winds continue this afternoon before turning light again around sunset this evening. Gusts return again late tomorrow morning also from the northwest.
Outlook...
Friday through Saturday night...Mainly VFR with valley fog possible in the morning hours.
Sunday through Monday...Scattered rain showers with associated restrictions possible.
Tuesday...Restrictions possible as another low pressure system looks to approach the region with showers.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Wind History for Oswego, NY
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to 5 hour of 5 minute data for KPEO
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KPEO
Wind History Graph: PEO
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of north east
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Binghamton, NY,
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