Manistee, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manistee, MI

April 16, 2024 3:41 PM EDT (19:41 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:58 AM   Sunset 8:30 PM
Moonrise 12:12 PM   Moonset 3:16 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LMZ849 Pentwater To Manistee Mi- 1105 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 10 pm edt this evening - .

.gale warning in effect from 10 pm edt this evening through late tonight - .

Rest of today - East winds 15 to 25 knots. Mostly Sunny. A slight chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Tonight - East gales to 35 knots veering southeast to 30 knots toward daybreak. Rain showers and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 3 to 5 feet.

Wednesday - Southeast winds to 30 knots veering south 15 to 20 knots late in the day. Rain showers and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Wednesday night - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots veering west toward daybreak. Partly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Thursday - West winds 10 to 15 knots backing southwest late in the day. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Friday - West winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Saturday - Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet.

LMZ800
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manistee, MI
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Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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FXUS63 KAPX 161846 AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 246 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Red Flag Warning through 8pm

- Very windy overnight and Wednesday

- Rainy and potentially stormy overnight and Wednesday.

- Cooler Temperatures for most of the long term

- Possible gusty west winds return Friday afternoon



SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Pattern Synopsis:

Main feature of interest this cycle is a large upper low slowly moving through the midwest toward the Great Lakes. At the surface, low pressure just north of Omaha will move to near Minneapolis by Wednesday morning, then to near Green Bay by Wednesday evening. A warm front from the low across the southern Great Lakes will slowly lift northward to where it will be draped across northern Michigan by Wednesday night.

Forecast Details:

Very dry airmass currently across northern Michigan along with moderately gusty winds has prompted a Red Flag Warning across the area, and those conditions will continue through mid evening.

As low pressure at the surface and aloft continues to deepen and approach the area, east winds will increase markedly overnight. Potential for gusts of up to 50 mph are possible generally along and west of I-75 where downsloping will assist in producing localized gusts up to 50 mph. Further east gust potential is still there but not as high and any impacts are expected to be less widespread. Marine winds will increase in a similar manner, and gale warnings are in place across the region.

Rain chances also increase as the lows approach overnight.
Instability is pretty marginal, but there is a chance some of the showers have some embedded thunder at times. Models imply that there may be some coverage reduction Wednesday morning, and if that happens, instability may be able to increase enough for more thunder potential on the sunrise side Wednesday afternoon.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
Pattern Synopsis and Forecast: Wednesday night the system will continue eastward and exit the region. West to north west winds will gradually diminish overnight into Thursday morning.
Thursday, a weaker surface low and trailing front will pass over MI brining rain chances back for Thursday afternoon and Friday night. Friday, a deep upper level closed low over eastern Ontario will slide to the southeast. This will move a stronger mid level jet overhead. Gusty winds will be possible Friday and/or Saturday. Colder air will also move in, making it possible that Saturday's high temperature could remain in the 40s. Cooler than normal temperatures will linger through early next week.

Primary Forecast Concerns/Key Messages: The main possible impacts in the long term forcast are the chances for gusty west winds Friday afternoon. At this time, models have a fairly good signal that the stronger jet aloft will cross over northern MI Friday. However its still early, meaning the intensity of the jet and position could change as we get closer. Probabilities at this time keep the most likely max wind gusts around 30 to 40 mph. Temperatures will be cooler, with drier air. Temperatures will likely be cooler for much of the long term due to that deep low over Canada slowly making its way east and influencing the area.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 123 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

VFR conditions through early evening, then MVFR cigs overnight in rain. Some MVFR vsbys also possible in heavier rain but should remain mostly VFR until late in the period when the upper low gets closer to the TAF sites. Winds increase significantly late this evening and especially overnight through the end of the period. Some LLWS also possible, mainly speed shear. Surface winds eventually turn southeast to south late in the period or just after the end of the period.



APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for MIZ016>018- 020>036-041-042-098-099.
Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to noon EDT Wednesday for MIZ016-017-020>022-025>028-031>033-097>099.
Wind Advisory from 2 AM to 5 PM EDT Wednesday for MIZ086>088- 095-096.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Wednesday for LHZ345>347.
Gale Warning from 2 AM to 11 AM EDT Wednesday for LHZ348-349.
Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Wednesday for LMZ341-342.
Gale Warning from 11 PM this evening to 11 AM EDT Wednesday for LMZ323-344>346.
Gale Warning from 2 AM to 8 PM EDT Wednesday for LSZ321-322.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
MEEM4 - Manistee Harbor, MI 1 mi62 min ESE 8.9G14 68°F
BSBM4 - Big Sable Point, MI 17 mi62 min E 12G17 68°F 30.06
LDTM4 - 9087023 - Ludington, MI 22 mi54 min E 11G19 67°F 29°F


Wind History for Ludington, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMBL MANISTEE COBLACKER,MI 4 sm45 minESE 12G2110 smClear70°F28°F21%30.04
KLDM MASON COUNTY,MI 20 sm26 minESE 12G1710 smClear72°F30°F22%30.01
Link to 5 minute data for KMBL


Wind History from MBL
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
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Gaylord, MI,



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