Cross Village, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cross Village, MI

June 13, 2024 3:34 PM EDT (19:34 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:41 AM   Sunset 9:33 PM
Moonrise 12:00 PM   Moonset 12:48 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LMZ342 Norwood Mi To 5nm West Of Mackinac Bridge Including Little Traverse Bay- 229 Pm Edt Thu Jun 13 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 8 pm edt this evening - .

Rest of the afternoon - Northwest wind 15 to 25 knots. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Tonight - Northwest wind 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Friday - Northwest wind 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Friday night - Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in the vicinity of Thunderstorms.
see the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.

LMZ300
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cross Village, MI
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Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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FXUS63 KAPX 131854 AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 254 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Trending considerably warmer and more humid Sunday and beyond. Highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s possible Monday and Tuesday.

- Various chances of showers at storms at times Sunday night and into next week.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 232 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Thunderstorms developed across central upper earlier this afternoon and this activity is presently drifting into eastern upper. These storms are expected to move southeast out of that area over the next hour or two. Across northern lower, little to no activity thus far. Do expect isolated activity to develop out ahead of approaching cold front. Still can't rule out a few strong to severe storms with damaging winds and large hail the main threats. The front moves through this evening with clearing skies and diminishing winds behind it. In addition, it will gradually feel less humid with drier air moving in. Surface high pressure moves over the region Friday yielding mostly sunny skies and comfortable temperatures. Cooler tonight with lows ranging from the mid 40s north to the mid 50s south. Highs Friday ranging from around 70 north to the middle 70s south.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 232 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Pattern Synopsis / Forecast:

Troughing regime over northeast North America set to break down as a thermal ridge flexes overhead by the end of the weekend, commencing the return of warmth with a vengeance. As the 500mb thermal ridge anchors itself over the Carolinas next week, this will lead to a quick flow around the periphery of the ridge from WSW to ENE, right over northern Michigan. This flow around the fringes of the ridge will result in the potential for convective waves to pass through the region at times next week, with temperatures in the 80s and possibly well into the 90s for some at various times.

Primary Forecast Concerns:

Precipitation: High pressure keeps things on the dry side Saturday before a wave cresting the ridge axis passes through the region.
This will bring about the potential for showers and storms.
Admittedly, some uncertainty regarding this feature's exact track.
This theme continues into next week, with any ejecting convective wave originating from the plains being able to bring about showers and storms amid the warm and potentially unstable airmass overhead.
Should be noted that this pattern is somewhat conducive for mesoscale convective systems (MCS) to ride along the ridge into the Great Lakes, which could lead to instances of lines of storms containing strong winds. These systems can vary in position, intensity, and timing with every run of guidance, so any forecast regarding individual thunderstorm complexes will have to be fine tuned perhaps a day or two in advance.

Temperatures: A pleasant and somewhat more seasonable day in store for Saturday, with highs largely in the 70s (maybe 80s TVC?). Beyond this, temperatures swell into the 80s Sunday and surge well into the 90s across northern lower and upper 80s in the eastern Yoop at least for Monday and Tuesday. Some uncertainty is cast on how high temperatures will exactly climb owing to potential disruptions of heating from any storms that pass through the region. Should also be noted that dewpoints surging into the 60s and perhaps near 70 will add quite the humid feel to things, with overnight lows largely stalling in the mid 60s to lower 70s for most during this warm period... certainly an uncomfortable feel set to commence, especially for those without home cooling.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
Issued at 140 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

A cold front will move across the region this afternoon and evening. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected with the front. The best chances for storms appears to be at CIU (early afternoon) and PLN (mid afternoon). There will be lesser chances for storms at APN, TVC and mbL later this afternoon into early this evening. Cigs and vsbys are expected to remain mainly vfr through the taf period except possibly lower in any storms. CIU could see brief MVFR cigs late tonight/early Friday. Southwest winds will be a bit gusty this afternoon, shift into the northwest by this evening then become light tonight.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LHZ345>349.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LMZ323- 341-342-344>346.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LSZ321- 322.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
MACM4 - 9075080 - Mackinaw City, MI 20 mi46 minWSW 17G24 59°F29.61
45175 21 mi34 minSW 27 64°F 2 ft
CYGM4 - Cheybogan, MI 29 mi104 minSW 13G24
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI 39 mi54 minWSW 29G35 71°F 29.70
NABM4 - Naubinway, MI 42 mi54 minSW 8.9G21 59°F 29.67
SRLM4 48 mi94 minWSW 18 68°F 58°F


Wind History for Mackinaw City, MI
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: PLN
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Gaylord, MI,




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