Cross Village, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cross Village, MI

February 20, 2024 4:46 PM EST (21:46 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:31 AM   Sunset 6:10 PM
Moonrise 2:07 PM   Moonset 6:02 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LMZ342 Norwood Mi To 5nm West Of Mackinac Bridge Including Little Traverse Bay- 246 Pm Est Tue Feb 20 2024

Tonight - South wind 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest early in the morning. Partly cloudy early in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday - Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday night - Light winds. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Thursday - North wind 5 to 10 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
see the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.

LMZ300
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cross Village, MI
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Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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FXUS63 KAPX 201944 AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 244 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2024

KEY MESSAGES

-Mild daytime temperatures through mid week with a few isolated rain showers.

-Colder, breezy, and a chance for light lake effect snow showers late week.

-Potential for warm and unsettled weather early next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: High pressure now centered over New England as of early this afternoon. Weak low pressure remains progged to cross north of Lake Superior tonight. Warm advection this afternoon remains the rule through tonight, especially through the low levels.

Primary Forecast Concerns: Cloud cover and low chances for a rogue sprinkle or flurry tonight.

Filtered sunshine this afternoon across much of northern Michigan given a slow uptick in mid-high cloud. Otherwise, temperatures have moderated nicely after another chilly start earlier this morning.
Warm advection continues tonight, especially near and below 800 mb.
As was alluded to by the prior forecaster, there's no real focus for precip, but given an anticipated increase in stratocu -- suppose a few sprinkles or flurries will be possible, mainly after midnight.
CHances this for this still appear quite low and have opted to leave a specific mention out of the forecast for now.

Low temperatures tonight quite a bit warmer than the last several -- ranging from the upper 20s to mid-30s area-wide.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/

Pattern Synopsis and Forecast:

Generally west flow aloft on Wednesday with a weak and minor disturbance passing through. The more impactful event in the short term period will be a passing trough and associated cold front Thursday night into Friday with breezy winds, colder temperatures, and a chance for lake effect snow showers.

Primary Forecast Concerns:

The relatively warm winter continues with the beginning of the short term period no exception. West flow aloft will result in temperatures well into the 40s Wednesday afternoon. Cannot rule out a few light rain showers due to a weak passing disturbance during the daytime hours as well with little impact. Another day with temperatures in the 40s on Thursday and a few light rain showers possible across far southeast portions of the area.

A trough and associated cold front will move through the region Thursday night into Friday with breezy to windy conditions and much colder temperatures. Temperatures will fall throughout the day on Friday with wind chills in the single digits for many. Marine zones will be near gale warning criteria during this time. With 850 temperatures in the -10 to -20 degree C range, in addition to persistent northwest flow and inversion heights up to ~800-850mb, there will be a chance for lake effect snow late Thursday into Friday. Progged soundings show a lack of moisture within the boundary, however, and so at this time only expecting the potential for light lake effect snow showers across the northwest snow belts.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/

Pattern Synopsis and Forecast:

After a cool Friday night into Saturday, heights aloft will quickly rise on Sunday resulting in temperatures back into the 40s most areas. The pattern early next week is quite interesting, with guidance suggesting ridging near/just to our east, troughing to our west, and thus southwest flow aloft in-between across northern Michigan. This is a warm pattern with guidance showing the potential for temperatures in the 50s early next week, especially on Tuesday as sfc winds shift to the south and southwest. The troughing (and associated sfc low) to our west will slowly move east with the chance for rain showers somewhere in the Monday night to early Wednesday time frame. Depending on the exact positioning of the sfc low, could have a little instability as well and thus a non zero chance for thunder (although at this range in the forecast, take this statement with a grain of salt at this point).

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
Primarily VFR area-wide this afternoon through tonight, although some lingering LIFR/IFR at CIU. Southerly winds will take on more of a southwesterly component later tonight into Wednesday morning. Expecting additional strato-cu development tonight, especailly affecting PLN/CIU, although current trends suggest CIGs remain low VFR. Brief period of LLWS possible tonight -- generally between 04-10z.

MARINE

Southerly winds continue this afternoon before taking on a more southwesterly component later tonight into Wednesday. While winds/waves will likely fall short of small craft advisory criteria, those levels will be approached on both northern Lake Michigan and Huron later this evening through tonight.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
MACM4 - 9075080 - Mackinaw City, MI 20 mi47 min E 5.1G8 33°F 33°F30.1132°F
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI 39 mi67 min N 1G2.9 42°F 30.14
NABM4 - Naubinway, MI 42 mi67 min SE 7G11 33°F 30.11
SRLM4 48 mi107 min ESE 11 35°F 30°F


Wind History for Mackinaw City, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMGN HARBOR SPRINGS,MI 11 sm11 minE 0310 smClear43°F28°F57%30.11
KPLN PELLSTON RGNL AIRPORT OF EMMET COUNTY,MI 11 sm52 mincalm10 smClear43°F27°F52%30.13
KCVX CHARLEVOIX MUNI,MI 24 sm11 mincalm10 smClear41°F28°F61%30.11
Link to 5 minute data for KPLN


Wind History from PLN
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
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Gaylord, MI,



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