Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ironton, OH
 | Sunrise 7:03 AM Sunset 6:22 PM Moonrise 3:25 PM Moonset 5:33 AM |
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ironton, OH
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FXUS61 KRLX 281929 AFDRLX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 229 PM EST Sat Feb 28 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
The chance for snow with the cold frontal passage Sunday morning has diminished to almost nothing. The chance for snow and amounts Monday have also decreased, with nothing more than minor accumulations expected now. However, the potential for ice accretion and amounts along and east-southeast of the mountains Monday night into Tuesday morning has increased.
Corrected message numbering.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) A bit of wintry weather is slated for early Monday morning through Monday Night. Light snow and ice accumulations are expected.
- 2) Flooding may become an issue by mid week with warmer weather leading to snowmelt, and disturbances bringing rounds of rainfall.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
After a mild Saturday, a cold front slips through the area overnight tonight and early Sunday morning. While this may bring light rain showers, the colder air behind it will set us up for a potentially wintry mix of precipitation when a flat wave passes south of the area Monday, starting early in the morning, through Monday night.
Warm advection from the south associated with this wave will initially result in a precipitation type transition from snow north to rain south, While there remains model spread as to where these transitions may be, they should quickly surge northward during the day on Monday. In the transition, there could be a stripe of sleet and/or freezing rain, but this would likely be brief.
High pressure east of the central Appalachians sets up a classic cold air damming wedge along and east-southeast of the mountains as it slides southward Monday night into Tuesday, and low level cold air holds fast there even as it quickly warms west of the mountains. This is a more conducive set up for sleet and freezing rain along and east-southeast of the mountains.
The high continues sliding southward Tuesday and then, eventually, eastward off the southeast coast, This allows a southerly warm advection flow to scour out the cold air along and east-southeast of the mountains Tuesday just as quickly as the isobars can take it away, eradicating the threat for wintry precipitation from then on.
Any snowfall accumulations will be minimal even in the mountains through Monday night. The best chance for freezing rain is overnight Monday night into Tuesday morning along and east-southeast of the mountains with the cold air damming setup. There is a 90 percent chance of measurable ice accretion, one hundredth of an inch, and a 30 percent chance of a tenth of an inch of ice accretion. The Tuesday morning commute in this area would be the most likely to be impacted.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
The next low pressure wave passes northwest of the area Tuesday and Tuesday night, bringing warm advection rain. It may drag a weak cold front into the area in its wake Wednesday morning, but another warm wave, tracking even farther northwest of the area and with greater model spread on its track and timing, will take any cooler air right back out of the area, and the trend toward milder weather continues. Rain showers are likely with this system Thursday night into Friday, depending upon its track and timing.
Forecast rainfall amounts have risen to over an inch across northwest portions of the area for Monday through Tuesday night, the lions share of it coming early Tuesday morning through Tuesday night. This could lead to minor high water issues, or at least set the table for additional rounds of rainfall expected through at least next weekend and probably into the following week, by further saturating the ground, and via river rises in southeast Ohio, particularly due to even higher rainfall amounts in the headwaters of these rivers, Tuesday through Tuesday night.
Model trends have trended farther north with the low pressure waves and associated rainfall next week, and WPC has backed off on the southeastern extent of their Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall in their Day 4 (Tuesday through Tuesday night) outlook, now just barely clipping the far northwest corner of our forecast area.
The new Day 5 (Wednesday through Wednesday night) outlook shows a marginal risk farther west and south, in associated with the next wave.
Lowland high temperatures go from 50s and 60s on Tuesday to the 70s Thursday onward, and lows climb to the 50s during that time. There is higher confidence for reaching these well above normal temperatures by the end of the week due to a very strong dome of high pressure over the southeastern U.S. setting up by that timeframe. The warmer and more humid air raises the specter of thunderstorms during that timeframe as well, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.
AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR persists through tonight. A cold front crossing overnight and early Sunday morning will introduce an MVFR stratocumulus deck, with light rain showers around. Confidence was not high in visibility or further ceiling impacts with these, but VCSH was included in the mountains.
Light west to southwest to variable flow this afternoon will become light and variable to calm early this evening, and then light north to northwest behind the cold front Sunday morning.
Exceptions include a period of light northeast flow behind the front at PKB and light southwest flow ahead of it at at BKW, both overnight tonight, and then the north to northwest flow becoming a bit gusty at BKW late Sunday morning.
Light west to southwest flow aloft through tonight will become moderate west overnight tonight, and then light northwest on Sunday.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Rain showers may briefly lower visibility to MVFR early Sunday morning. Ceilings in the mountains may lower to IFR for a time Sunday morning.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 EST 1HRLY 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 18Z SUNDAY...
IFR conditions possible in snow and wintry mix late Sunday night through Monday night, and in rain Tuesday through Tuesday night.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 229 PM EST Sat Feb 28 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
The chance for snow with the cold frontal passage Sunday morning has diminished to almost nothing. The chance for snow and amounts Monday have also decreased, with nothing more than minor accumulations expected now. However, the potential for ice accretion and amounts along and east-southeast of the mountains Monday night into Tuesday morning has increased.
Corrected message numbering.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) A bit of wintry weather is slated for early Monday morning through Monday Night. Light snow and ice accumulations are expected.
- 2) Flooding may become an issue by mid week with warmer weather leading to snowmelt, and disturbances bringing rounds of rainfall.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
After a mild Saturday, a cold front slips through the area overnight tonight and early Sunday morning. While this may bring light rain showers, the colder air behind it will set us up for a potentially wintry mix of precipitation when a flat wave passes south of the area Monday, starting early in the morning, through Monday night.
Warm advection from the south associated with this wave will initially result in a precipitation type transition from snow north to rain south, While there remains model spread as to where these transitions may be, they should quickly surge northward during the day on Monday. In the transition, there could be a stripe of sleet and/or freezing rain, but this would likely be brief.
High pressure east of the central Appalachians sets up a classic cold air damming wedge along and east-southeast of the mountains as it slides southward Monday night into Tuesday, and low level cold air holds fast there even as it quickly warms west of the mountains. This is a more conducive set up for sleet and freezing rain along and east-southeast of the mountains.
The high continues sliding southward Tuesday and then, eventually, eastward off the southeast coast, This allows a southerly warm advection flow to scour out the cold air along and east-southeast of the mountains Tuesday just as quickly as the isobars can take it away, eradicating the threat for wintry precipitation from then on.
Any snowfall accumulations will be minimal even in the mountains through Monday night. The best chance for freezing rain is overnight Monday night into Tuesday morning along and east-southeast of the mountains with the cold air damming setup. There is a 90 percent chance of measurable ice accretion, one hundredth of an inch, and a 30 percent chance of a tenth of an inch of ice accretion. The Tuesday morning commute in this area would be the most likely to be impacted.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
The next low pressure wave passes northwest of the area Tuesday and Tuesday night, bringing warm advection rain. It may drag a weak cold front into the area in its wake Wednesday morning, but another warm wave, tracking even farther northwest of the area and with greater model spread on its track and timing, will take any cooler air right back out of the area, and the trend toward milder weather continues. Rain showers are likely with this system Thursday night into Friday, depending upon its track and timing.
Forecast rainfall amounts have risen to over an inch across northwest portions of the area for Monday through Tuesday night, the lions share of it coming early Tuesday morning through Tuesday night. This could lead to minor high water issues, or at least set the table for additional rounds of rainfall expected through at least next weekend and probably into the following week, by further saturating the ground, and via river rises in southeast Ohio, particularly due to even higher rainfall amounts in the headwaters of these rivers, Tuesday through Tuesday night.
Model trends have trended farther north with the low pressure waves and associated rainfall next week, and WPC has backed off on the southeastern extent of their Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall in their Day 4 (Tuesday through Tuesday night) outlook, now just barely clipping the far northwest corner of our forecast area.
The new Day 5 (Wednesday through Wednesday night) outlook shows a marginal risk farther west and south, in associated with the next wave.
Lowland high temperatures go from 50s and 60s on Tuesday to the 70s Thursday onward, and lows climb to the 50s during that time. There is higher confidence for reaching these well above normal temperatures by the end of the week due to a very strong dome of high pressure over the southeastern U.S. setting up by that timeframe. The warmer and more humid air raises the specter of thunderstorms during that timeframe as well, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.
AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR persists through tonight. A cold front crossing overnight and early Sunday morning will introduce an MVFR stratocumulus deck, with light rain showers around. Confidence was not high in visibility or further ceiling impacts with these, but VCSH was included in the mountains.
Light west to southwest to variable flow this afternoon will become light and variable to calm early this evening, and then light north to northwest behind the cold front Sunday morning.
Exceptions include a period of light northeast flow behind the front at PKB and light southwest flow ahead of it at at BKW, both overnight tonight, and then the north to northwest flow becoming a bit gusty at BKW late Sunday morning.
Light west to southwest flow aloft through tonight will become moderate west overnight tonight, and then light northwest on Sunday.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Rain showers may briefly lower visibility to MVFR early Sunday morning. Ceilings in the mountains may lower to IFR for a time Sunday morning.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 EST 1HRLY 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 18Z SUNDAY...
IFR conditions possible in snow and wintry mix late Sunday night through Monday night, and in rain Tuesday through Tuesday night.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KHTS
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KHTS
Wind History Graph: HTS
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of great lakes
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