Bloomington, MN Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bloomington, MN

April 16, 2024 5:24 AM CDT (10:24 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:23 AM   Sunset 8:01 PM
Moonrise 11:39 AM   Moonset 2:46 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bloomington, MN
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Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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FXUS63 KMPX 160815 AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 315 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Strong winds today, with easterly gusts of 40-50 mph likely.
(potentially higher during showers and thunderstorms).

- Widespread rain will spread across the area today, with showers and thunderstorms continuing through Wednesday morning.

- Below-normal temperatures Friday through Sunday with highs in the 40s and 50s expected. Sub-freezing lows are likely.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 313 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Radar remains clear early this morning, despite a decent elevated mixed layer with lapse rates 7-8 C/km. This is due to lack of forcing at present. The EML will dissipate as an upper level shortwave approaches from South Dakota. This will drive warm air advection and increase the forcing required for showers to begin in southwestern Minnesota around the morning commute. While forcing will now be increasing, lapse rates and any substantial instability will be missing. Things will translate northeastward, with showers and thunderstorms reaching the Metro by lunchtime, if not sooner. Early afternoon soundings lack CAPE, but remain saturated. Hi-Res models continue to depict widespread rain with embedded bands of heavier showers and thunderstorms as the system moves through.

By this evening, RAP model soundings at Albert Lea depict the reconstruction of the elevated mixed layer with decent elevated CAPE around 800 J/kg. Tracing this to the surface, CAPE is cut in half and CIN triples. If we are able to overachieve on clearing and rid low level CIN this evening, the helicity is there to support the SPC's 2% tornado risk across far southern Minnesota. The threat remains conditional on being able to recover CAPE and clear CIN.

On a broader scale, the stronger instability isn't forecast to get farther north than the I-90 corridor. Regardless, a few embedded thunderstorms are likely across all of southern and central Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Guidance continues to show 1-2" QPF for southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin, with higher end totals more likely to the south. Isolated amounts in excess of 2" are certainly possible in areas that are impacted by multiple rounds of thunderstorms.

Taking a step back from precipitation, the low-level jet with this system is impressive and is the reason for a (nearly) area wide Wind Advisory this morning through this evening. A tightening pressure gradient will likely squeeze out peak gusts of 40 to 45MPH. Adding showers and thunderstorms on top of the already potent LLJ will only act to bring the stronger gusts down to the surface more frequently. Winds should subside and become northwesterly overnight as the surface low moves overhead. Winds will rebound again on Wednesday, but to a lesser extreme (peak gusts to 30-35MPH).

High pressure will move in by later in the week, with much cooler temperatures taking place. Highs on Thursday will still be in the 50s, but only in the 40s on Friday and Saturday. Friday and Saturday night lows will dip below freezing for most. This is around 5-10 degrees cooler than normal, but will feel much cooler than that due to our recent warm temperatures. No significant precipitation is in the forecast beyond Thursday, but temperatures will quickly return to normal.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 1124 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Mid level clouds increase overnight with showers approaching southwest MN after 09-10Z. The light showers will continue to spread northeast through the morning with mostly VFR conditions.
A few TS are possible with this activity. A heavier round will develop, accompanied by a line of non-severe thunderstorms, in the late morning in southwest MN to the late afternoon over eastern MN and WI. MVFR/IFR conditions are likely with the heavier round. East winds will increase overnight and begin gusting, with gusts of 35-40 kts expected Tuesday.

KMSP...Winds will begin picking up overnight. Light rain should begin to move in around 14Z, with the main round and TS becoming more likely in the 20-24Z timeframe.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ WED...AM -RA & MVFR/IFR. Wind NW 20G30 kts.
THU...VFR. Wind W 15-20G30 kts.
FRI...VFR. Wind WNW 20G30 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for Anoka-Blue Earth-Brown-Carver-Chippewa-Dakota-Douglas- Faribault-Freeborn-Goodhue-Hennepin-Kandiyohi-Lac Qui Parle-Le Sueur-Martin-McLeod-Meeker-Nicollet-Pope-Ramsey- Redwood-Renville-Rice-Scott-Sherburne-Sibley-Stearns- Steele-Stevens-Swift-Waseca-Washington-Watonwan-Wright- Yellow Medicine.
WI...Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 10 PM CDT this evening for Chippewa-Dunn-Eau Claire-Pepin-Pierce-St.
Croix.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMSP MINNEAPOLISST PAUL INTL/WOLDCHAMBERLAIN,MN 6 sm31 minESE 15G2110 smClear55°F30°F38%29.85
KFCM FLYING CLOUD,MN 8 sm31 minE 12G23Clear57°F28°F33%29.81
KLVN AIRLAKE,MN 14 sm29 minE 16G2010 smPartly Cloudy55°F30°F38%29.83
KSGS SOUTH ST PAUL MUNIRICHARD E FLEMING FLD,MN 15 sm29 minESE 09G2010 smClear55°F30°F38%29.85
KSTP ST PAUL DOWNTOWN HOLMAN FLD,MN 15 sm31 minESE 12G2210 smClear55°F30°F38%29.86
KMIC CRYSTAL,MN 16 sm31 minE 11G2710 smClear57°F28°F33%29.84
KANE ANOKA COUNTYBLAINE (JANES FIELD),MN 22 sm29 minE 12G1910 smClear55°F28°F35%29.85
Link to 5 minute data for KMSP


Wind History from MSP
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