Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Glen Arbor, MI
July 27, 2024 7:18 AM CDT (12:18 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 5:32 AM Sunset 8:21 PM Moonrise 11:27 PM Moonset 1:06 PM |
LMZ364 Expires:202407271530;;371101 Fzus63 Kmkx 270751 Glflm
open lake forecast for lake michigan national weather service milwaukee/sullivan wi 251 am cdt Sat jul 27 2024
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan.
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave, along with the average height of the highest 10% of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
Synopsis -
high pressure around 30.2 inches will continue to retreat into the northeast today, while low pressure of 29.2 inches moves from northern saskatchewan into northern manitoba. South winds will gust around 20 knots, mainly across the north half. On Sunday, low pressure of 29.5 will develop in the central plains and south breezes will continue as a warm front develops across the lake. Weaker low pressure will move across the lake early Tuesday, shifting winds to southwesterly. Thunderstorms are possible throughout Sunday, with additional Thunderstorm chances continuing through midweek.
lmz261-362-364-366-563-565-567-868-271530- lake michigan from seul choix point to rock island passage 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan south of a line from seul choix point to the mackinac bridge and north of a line from charlevoix mi to south fox island 5 nm offshore- lake michigan from charlevoix to point betsie mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from point betsie to manistee mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from rock island passage to sturgeon bay wi- lake michigan from sturgeon bay to two rivers wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from two rivers to sheboygan wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from pentwater to manistee mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- 251 am cdt Sat jul 27 2024
sheboygan wi to pentwater mi north - .
Today - South winds 10 to 20 kt increasing to 15 to 25 kt. Waves 3 to 5 ft.
Tonight - South winds 15 to 25 kt diminishing to 10 to 20 kt. Waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.
Sunday - South winds 10 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Sunday night - South winds 10 to 20 kt diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Monday - South winds 10 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Monday night - South winds 10 to 20 kt diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Tuesday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 kt increasing to 10 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Wednesday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
open lake forecast for lake michigan national weather service milwaukee/sullivan wi 251 am cdt Sat jul 27 2024
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan.
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave, along with the average height of the highest 10% of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
high pressure around 30.2 inches will continue to retreat into the northeast today, while low pressure of 29.2 inches moves from northern saskatchewan into northern manitoba. South winds will gust around 20 knots, mainly across the north half. On Sunday, low pressure of 29.5 will develop in the central plains and south breezes will continue as a warm front develops across the lake. Weaker low pressure will move across the lake early Tuesday, shifting winds to southwesterly. Thunderstorms are possible throughout Sunday, with additional Thunderstorm chances continuing through midweek.
lmz261-362-364-366-563-565-567-868-271530- lake michigan from seul choix point to rock island passage 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan south of a line from seul choix point to the mackinac bridge and north of a line from charlevoix mi to south fox island 5 nm offshore- lake michigan from charlevoix to point betsie mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from point betsie to manistee mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from rock island passage to sturgeon bay wi- lake michigan from sturgeon bay to two rivers wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from two rivers to sheboygan wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from pentwater to manistee mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- 251 am cdt Sat jul 27 2024
sheboygan wi to pentwater mi north - .
LMZ300
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Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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FXUS63 KAPX 270924 AFDAPX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 524 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Warm and increasingly humid this weekend.
- Showers and storms return early next week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 256 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Mid-upper level ridging just upstream at this early hour shifts overhead through the day today before ever so slowly beginning to push off to the east tonight. Surface high pressure over southern Ontario gradually centers over the Northeast states today with little further progress through the remainder of short term forecast period.
Forecast Details: Just some wisps of high cloud out there early this morning with a few patches of fog in the typically prone areas.
Another day ahead with mostly sunny skies with just a few inland cu developing and occasional high clouds continuing to pass overhead.
Some upper-level smoke progged to remain as well, most concentrated over the northeastern half of the forecast area. Otherwise, aforementioned ridge overhead and southwest winds will aid to boost temperatures another handful of degrees over yesterday's highs. Lots of mid-80s across northern lower with some upper 80s a decent bet in downsloping locales near TVC and across sections of northeast lower. A touch cooler in the U.P. -- mainly upper 70s to low 80s.
Mainly clear skies for much of the night ahead with potential for some localized/patchy fog once again. More high clouds are expected to begin to spread in from the southwest after 06-08z, perhaps limiting fog chances thereafter. Lows ranging from the mid-50s to low 60s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 256 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Pattern Synopsis and Forecast:
Southwest flow aloft, not particularly strong, takes hold early next week with an embedded disturbance or two rotating around the Upper Midwest-Great Lakes. An unstable environment along with this disturbance will facilitate shower and thunderstorm development Monday and Tuesday. Mid to late week revolves around building heights aloft and a disturbance attempting to undercut the ridge.
This may keep a chance for showers/storms through the end of the week, if the disturbance is not too far south/weak and inconsequential.
Primary Forecast Concerns:
Pretty moist low levels coupled with decreasing heights/temperatures aloft will result in a modest amount of instability early next week (Mon into Tues). An approaching disturbance will aid in kicking off showers and thunderstorms both afternoons. Wind fields, however, not all that impressive with ~15-25kts of bulk shear (0-6), and similar EBWD values. Thus, do not see this as a substantial severe threat, more like an isolated, rogue instance or two. Nevertheless, could still see gusty winds, small hail, and locally heavy rainfall.
Disturbance and frontal boundary will move through Tuesday, shifting winds to more westerly and perhaps resulting in a "slightly cooler" day (low to mid 80s) when compared to the rest of the week.
Building heights will result in very warm temperatures through much of the rest of next week (mid-upper 80s in the current fcst). Will be a feature that tries to impact N MI late next week with lingering low level moisture. Thus, shower and storm potential will be possible once again as hinted at by ENS guidance in the Thurs-Fri time frame, as long as the feature is not too far south as some deterministic guidance suggests. No other significant weather hazards during this period.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 522 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Any lingering morning patchy fog burns off quickly. VFR conditions expected today with just a few diurnally driven cu and passing high clouds around at times. Upper-level smoke likely to be apparent again today as well. Otherwise, southwest winds become light again tonight with at least low potential for some patchy fog in the typically prone areas (CIU/PLN/MBL)
once again.
APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 524 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Warm and increasingly humid this weekend.
- Showers and storms return early next week.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 256 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Mid-upper level ridging just upstream at this early hour shifts overhead through the day today before ever so slowly beginning to push off to the east tonight. Surface high pressure over southern Ontario gradually centers over the Northeast states today with little further progress through the remainder of short term forecast period.
Forecast Details: Just some wisps of high cloud out there early this morning with a few patches of fog in the typically prone areas.
Another day ahead with mostly sunny skies with just a few inland cu developing and occasional high clouds continuing to pass overhead.
Some upper-level smoke progged to remain as well, most concentrated over the northeastern half of the forecast area. Otherwise, aforementioned ridge overhead and southwest winds will aid to boost temperatures another handful of degrees over yesterday's highs. Lots of mid-80s across northern lower with some upper 80s a decent bet in downsloping locales near TVC and across sections of northeast lower. A touch cooler in the U.P. -- mainly upper 70s to low 80s.
Mainly clear skies for much of the night ahead with potential for some localized/patchy fog once again. More high clouds are expected to begin to spread in from the southwest after 06-08z, perhaps limiting fog chances thereafter. Lows ranging from the mid-50s to low 60s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 256 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Pattern Synopsis and Forecast:
Southwest flow aloft, not particularly strong, takes hold early next week with an embedded disturbance or two rotating around the Upper Midwest-Great Lakes. An unstable environment along with this disturbance will facilitate shower and thunderstorm development Monday and Tuesday. Mid to late week revolves around building heights aloft and a disturbance attempting to undercut the ridge.
This may keep a chance for showers/storms through the end of the week, if the disturbance is not too far south/weak and inconsequential.
Primary Forecast Concerns:
Pretty moist low levels coupled with decreasing heights/temperatures aloft will result in a modest amount of instability early next week (Mon into Tues). An approaching disturbance will aid in kicking off showers and thunderstorms both afternoons. Wind fields, however, not all that impressive with ~15-25kts of bulk shear (0-6), and similar EBWD values. Thus, do not see this as a substantial severe threat, more like an isolated, rogue instance or two. Nevertheless, could still see gusty winds, small hail, and locally heavy rainfall.
Disturbance and frontal boundary will move through Tuesday, shifting winds to more westerly and perhaps resulting in a "slightly cooler" day (low to mid 80s) when compared to the rest of the week.
Building heights will result in very warm temperatures through much of the rest of next week (mid-upper 80s in the current fcst). Will be a feature that tries to impact N MI late next week with lingering low level moisture. Thus, shower and storm potential will be possible once again as hinted at by ENS guidance in the Thurs-Fri time frame, as long as the feature is not too far south as some deterministic guidance suggests. No other significant weather hazards during this period.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 522 AM EDT Sat Jul 27 2024
Any lingering morning patchy fog burns off quickly. VFR conditions expected today with just a few diurnally driven cu and passing high clouds around at times. Upper-level smoke likely to be apparent again today as well. Otherwise, southwest winds become light again tonight with at least low potential for some patchy fog in the typically prone areas (CIU/PLN/MBL)
once again.
APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
45002 - N MICHIGAN- Halfway between North Manitou and Washington Islands. | 27 mi | 48 min | SSW 14G | 68°F | 68°F | 30.11 | 66°F | |
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI | 33 mi | 38 min | S 5.1G | 65°F | 30.14 | |||
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI | 49 mi | 78 min | SSE 2.9G | 62°F | 30.11 |
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Airport Reports
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KFKS
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KFKS
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KFKS
Wind History graph: FKS
(wind in knots)Gaylord, MI,
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